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Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603499) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

上海日光包装科技股份有限公司, Ltd(SHSE: 603499)的财务状况太模糊了,无法与当前的股价势头联系起来:该股将面临什么?
Simply Wall St ·  03/24 20:28

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603499) stock is up by a considerable 116% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE.

上海阳光包装技术有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603499)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了116%。但是,我们想知道该公司财务状况不稳定是否会对当前的股价势头产生任何不利影响。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注上海阳光包装科技有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海阳光包装科技有限公司的投资回报率为:

4.7% = CN¥30m ÷ CN¥637m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.7% = 3000万元人民币 ÷ 6.37亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。将其概念化的一种方法是,每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,公司的利润为0.05元人民币。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.7% ROE

上海阳光包装科技有限公司的收益增长和4.7%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's ROE is rather low. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 5.0% either. Given the low ROE Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline of 43% is not surprising.

很明显,上海阳光包装科技有限公司的投资回报率相当低。行业比较显示,该公司的投资回报率也与行业平均水平的5.0%没有太大区别。鉴于投资回报率较低,上海阳光包装科技有限公司的五年净收入下降了43%,这并不奇怪。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 3.9% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将上海阳光包装科技有限公司的业绩与行业进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以3.9%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603499 Past Earnings Growth March 25th 2024
SHSE: 603499 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 25 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。如果你想知道上海阳光包装科技有限公司的估值,可以看看这个衡量其与行业相比的市盈率指标。

Is Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海阳光包装科技有限公司是否有效地将利润再投资?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 43% (that is, a retention ratio of 57%), the fact that Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为43%(即留存率为57%),但上海阳光包装科技有限公司的收益萎缩这一事实令人费解。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Moreover, Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,上海阳光包装科技有限公司已经派发了六年的股息,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到,尽管收益一直在萎缩,但股东更喜欢持续的分红。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Sunglow Packaging TechnologyLtd.

总的来说,我们对上海阳光包装科技有限公司的表现有点矛盾。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为上海阳光包装科技有限公司确定的三种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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