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Broker Revenue Forecasts For Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. (SHSE:601318) Are Surging Higher

Broker Revenue Forecasts For Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. (SHSE:601318) Are Surging Higher

中国平安保险(集团)股份有限公司(SHSE: 601318)的经纪商收入预测飙升
Simply Wall St ·  03/23 20:44

Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. (SHSE:601318) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.

中国平安保险(集团)股份有限公司(SHSE: 601318)的股东今天将有理由微笑,分析师对今年的预测进行了大幅上调。共识估计的收入数字有所上升,他们现在对公司的业务前景的看法显然更加乐观。

Following the upgrade, the most recent consensus for Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China from its 16 analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.1t in 2024 which, if met, would be a substantial 22% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to shoot up 52% to CN¥7.18. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥850b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥7.24 in 2024. It seems analyst sentiment has certainly become more bullish on revenues, even though they haven't changed their view on earnings per share.

上调后,中国平安保险(集团)公司16位分析师对中国平安保险(集团)公司的最新共识是,2024年的收入为1.1万亿元人民币,如果达到,其销售额将比过去12个月大幅增长22%。据推测,每股法定收益将激增52%,至7.18元人民币。此前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为8500亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为7.24元人民币。看来分析师对收入的看法肯定变得更加乐观了,尽管他们对每股收益的看法没有改变。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601318 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 24th 2024
SHSE: 601318 收益和收入增长 2024 年 3 月 24 日

It may not be a surprise to see that the analysts have reconfirmed their price target of CN¥59.10, implying that the uplift in sales is not expected to greatly contribute to Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China's valuation in the near term.

分析师再次确认了59.10元人民币的目标股价可能不足为奇,这意味着销售额的上升预计不会在短期内对中国平安保险(集团)公司的估值做出重大贡献。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 22% annualised growth until the end of 2024. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 1.4% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 0.3% annually. So it looks like Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是研究它们与过去的业绩相比如何,以及同一行业中其他公司的表现。从这些估计中可以看出一件事,那就是预计中国平安保险(集团)公司未来的增长速度将比过去更快,预计到2024年底,收入将实现22%的年化增长。如果实现,这将比过去五年1.4%的年下降幅度好得多。相比之下,分析师对整个行业的估计表明,(总计)行业收入预计每年将增长0.3%。因此,看来中国平安保险(集团)公司的增长速度将超过其竞争对手,至少在一段时间内是如此。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most obvious conclusion from this consensus update is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with analysts holding earnings per share steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China.

本次共识更新中最明显的结论是,该业务的前景最近没有重大变化,分析师保持每股收益稳定,与先前的估计一致。幸运的是,分析师还上调了收入预期,我们的数据显示,预计销售表现将好于整个市场。鉴于分析师似乎预计销售渠道将大幅改善,现在可能是重新审视中国平安保险(集团)公司的合适时机。

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

尽管如此,该业务的长期前景比明年的收益更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对中国平安保险(集团)公司到2026年的全方位估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

当然,看到公司管理层将大量资金投资于股票与了解分析师是否在提高预期一样有用。因此,您可能还希望搜索这份内部人士正在购买的免费股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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