share_log

Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) Shareholders Have Endured a 51% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago

Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) Shareholders Have Endured a 51% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago

三年前,西南航空(纽约证券交易所代码:LUV)的股东因投资该股而遭受了51%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  03/22 12:12

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But long term Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:LUV) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. So they might be feeling emotional about the 52% share price collapse, in that time. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 15% in a month.

如果你喜欢投资股票,你一定会买入一些输家。但是从长远来看,西南航空公司纽约证券交易所代码:LUV)的股东在过去三年中经历了特别艰难的经历。因此,他们可能会对那段时间股价暴跌52%感到激动。最近,股价在一个月内又下跌了15%。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于从长远来看,股东会下跌,让我们来看看那段时间的潜在基本面,看看它们与回报是否一致。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Southwest Airlines moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在五年的股价增长中,西南航空从亏损转为盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。因此,值得研究其他指标来了解股价走势。

Revenue is actually up 37% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Southwest Airlines further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

在过去的三年中,收入实际上增长了37%,因此股价下跌似乎也不取决于收入。西南航空可能值得进一步调查;虽然我们可能遗漏了一些分析内容,但也可能有机会。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:LUV Earnings and Revenue Growth March 22nd 2024
纽约证券交易所:LUV收益和收入增长 2024年3月22日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for Southwest Airlines in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。您可以在这张未来利润估计的交互式图表中看到分析师对西南航空的预测。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 33% in the last year, Southwest Airlines shareholders lost 1.0% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 7% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Southwest Airlines (1 is a bit unpleasant) that you should be aware of.

尽管去年整体市场上涨了约33%,但西南航空的股东损失了1.0%(甚至包括股息)。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现不如市场。但是,去年的亏损没有投资者在过去五年中遭受的每年7%的损失那么严重。在认为股价将稳定之前,我们希望获得明确的信息,表明该公司将增长。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们已经确定了西南航空的两个警告标志(其中一个有点不愉快),你应该注意这些标志。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发