share_log

Investors More Bullish on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE:ARI) This Week as Stock Lifts 5.2%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Investors More Bullish on Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (NYSE:ARI) This Week as Stock Lifts 5.2%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

尽管过去五年收益呈下降趋势,但由于股价上涨了5.2%,本周投资者更加看好阿波罗商业房地产金融(纽约证券交易所代码:ARI)
Simply Wall St ·  03/22 10:07

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:ARI), since the last five years saw the share price fall 37%.

对于许多人来说,投资的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对阿波罗商业房地产金融公司(纽约证券交易所代码:ARI)的投资,因为过去五年股价下跌了37%。

While the last five years has been tough for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

尽管过去五年对阿波罗商业房地产金融股东来说是艰难的,但过去一周显示出希望的迹象。因此,让我们来看看长期基本面,看看它们是否是负回报的驱动力。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 28% each year. The share price decline of 9% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.

在股价下跌的五年中,阿波罗商业房地产金融的每股收益(EPS)每年下降28%。股价每年下跌9%,没有每股收益的下降那么严重。股价反应相对平淡,可能是因为市场预计业务将好转。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片发现确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:ARI Earnings Per Share Growth March 22nd 2024
纽约证券交易所:ARI 每股收益增长 2024 年 3 月 22 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我们喜欢内部人士在过去十二个月中一直在购买股票。即便如此,未来的收益对于当前股东能否赚钱要重要得多。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance the TSR over the last 5 years was 13%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,对于阿波罗商业房地产金融而言,过去5年的股东总回报率为13%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 48% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 2%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

很高兴看到阿波罗商业房地产金融的股东去年获得了48%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这一增幅好于五年内的年度股东总回报率,即2%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎一直很乐观。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。为此,你应该了解我们在阿波罗商业房地产金融中发现的4个警告信号(包括一个不容忽视的信号)。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发