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Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Dragon Mining (HKG:1712)

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Dragon Mining (HKG:1712)

令人印象深刻的收益可能无法说明龙矿业的全部情况(HKG: 1712)
Simply Wall St ·  03/21 19:13

Unsurprisingly, Dragon Mining Limited's (HKG:1712) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

毫不奇怪,龙矿业有限公司(HKG: 1712)的股价因其健康的收益报告而表现强劲。但是,我们认为股东们可能遗漏了一些与数字相关的细节。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1712 Earnings and Revenue History March 21st 2024
SEHK: 1712 2024 年 3 月 21 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Dragon Mining's Earnings

仔细观察 Dragon Mining 的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

For the year to December 2023, Dragon Mining had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of AU$10m, well over the AU$5.19m it reported in profit. Dragon Mining's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,Dragon Mining的应计比率为-0.11。因此,其法定收入远远低于其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为1000万澳元,远远超过其公布的519万澳元的利润。去年,Dragon Mining的自由现金流有所改善,总体而言,这是值得期待的。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Dragon Mining.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对龙矿业的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Surprisingly, given Dragon Mining's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by AU$7.8m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Dragon Mining had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

令人惊讶的是,鉴于Dragon Mining的应计比率意味着强劲的现金转换,其票面利润实际上是由780万澳元的不寻常项目增加的。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。截至2023年12月,龙矿业从不寻常的物品中获得了相当大的利润。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显高于原来的水平。

Our Take On Dragon Mining's Profit Performance

我们对龙矿业盈利表现的看法

Dragon Mining's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Dragon Mining's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. If you want to do dive deeper into Dragon Mining, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Dragon Mining you should be aware of.

不寻常的项目提振了Dragon Mining的利润,这表明这些利润可能无法持续下去,但其应计比率仍然显示出稳健的现金转换,这令人鼓舞。基于这些因素,我们认为Dragon Mining的法定利润不太可能使其看起来比现在弱得多。如果你想更深入地研究 Dragon Mining,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。一个很好的例子:我们发现了 2 个 Dragon Mining 警告信号,你应该注意了。

Our examination of Dragon Mining has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对Dragon Mining的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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