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We Think Janus International Group (NYSE:JBI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Janus International Group (NYSE:JBI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为骏利国际集团(纽约证券交易所代码:JBI)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  03/15 12:33

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Janus International Group, Inc. (NYSE:JBI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,骏利国际集团有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:JBI)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Janus International Group's Debt?

骏利国际集团的债务是多少?

As you can see below, Janus International Group had US$611.6m of debt at December 2023, down from US$707.1m a year prior. However, it does have US$171.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$439.9m.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,骏利国际集团的债务为6.116亿美元,低于去年同期的7.071亿美元。但是,它确实有1.717亿美元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为4.399亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:JBI Debt to Equity History March 15th 2024
纽约证券交易所:JBI 债务与股权比率历史记录 2024 年 3 月 15 日

How Strong Is Janus International Group's Balance Sheet?

骏利国际集团的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Janus International Group had liabilities of US$174.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$656.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$171.7m as well as receivables valued at US$223.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$434.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,骏利国际集团的负债为1.741亿美元,12个月以后到期的负债为6.563亿美元。除这些债务外,它有1.717亿美元的现金以及价值2.238亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出4.349亿美元。

Janus International Group has a market capitalization of US$2.15b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

骏利国际集团的市值为21.5亿美元,因此,如果需要,它很可能会筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。但是,仍然值得仔细研究其偿还债务的能力。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

Janus International Group has net debt worth 1.5 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.1 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. It is well worth noting that Janus International Group's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 31% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Janus International Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

骏利国际集团的净负债价值是息税折旧摊销前利润的1.5倍,这并不算过高,但其利息保障范围看起来有点偏低,息税前利润仅为利息支出的4.1倍。尽管这并不让我们太担心,但这确实表明利息的支付有些负担。值得注意的是,骏利国际集团的息税前利润像雨后竹子一样飙升,在过去十二个月中增长了31%。这将使其更容易管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定骏利国际集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Janus International Group recorded free cash flow worth 62% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,Janus International Group录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的62%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

Janus International Group's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Janus International Group takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Janus International Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

骏利国际集团的息税前利润增长率表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多在对阵14岁以下的守门员的比赛中进球一样轻松地处理债务。但是,更悲观的是,我们对它的利息保障有点担忧。考虑到所有这些数据,在我们看来,骏利国际集团对债务采取了相当明智的态度。尽管这带来了一些风险,但也可以提高股东的回报。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们发现了骏利国际集团的一个警告信号,在这里投资之前,你应该注意这个信号。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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