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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Yuexiu Property (HKG:123) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Yuexiu Property (HKG:123) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Year

正收益增长不足以让越秀地产(HKG: 123)股东在去年获得可观的回报
Simply Wall St ·  03/14 18:39

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Investors in Yuexiu Property Company Limited (HKG:123) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 55%. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 6.6%. Notably, shareholders had a tough run over the longer term, too, with a drop of 42% in the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 21% in the last three months.

通过购买指数基金很容易匹配整体市场回报。尽管个股可以成为大赢家,但更多股票无法产生令人满意的回报。去年,由于股价下跌了55%,越秀地产有限公司(HKG: 123)的投资者已经尝到了这种痛苦的下行空间。这明显低于6.6%左右的市场跌幅。值得注意的是,股东在长期内也表现艰难,在过去三年中下降了42%。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了21%。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last year, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

尽管过去一周令股东更加放心,但与去年相比,他们仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否是造成下降的原因。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Even though the Yuexiu Property share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

尽管越秀地产的股价在过去一年中有所下降,但其每股收益实际上有所改善。可能是股价此前被过度炒作。

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.

尽管每股收益有所改善,但股价仍大幅下跌令人惊讶。因此,也值得查看其他一些指标。

Vibrant companies don't usually cut their dividends, so the recent reduction might help explain why the Yuexiu Property share price has been weak.

充满活力的公司通常不会削减股息,因此最近的下调可能有助于解释越秀地产股价疲软的原因。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:123 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 14th 2024
SEHK: 123 2024 年 3 月 14 日的收益和收入增长

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Yuexiu Property

像我们一样,内部人士在过去的十二个月中一直在购买股票。即便如此,未来的收益对于当前股东是否赚钱将更为重要。这份显示分析师预测的免费报告应帮助您对越秀地产形成看法

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Yuexiu Property's TSR for the last 1 year was -49%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,越秀地产过去一年的股东总回报率为-49%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We regret to report that Yuexiu Property shareholders are down 49% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.6%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Yuexiu Property (including 1 which is concerning) .

我们遗憾地报告,越秀地产的股东今年下跌了49%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比整个市场6.6%的跌幅还要严重。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本发展。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临3%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。为此,你应该了解我们在越秀地产发现的3个警告信号(包括一个令人担忧的信号)。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

还有很多其他公司有内部人士购买股票。你可能不想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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