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Shareholders in Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) Have Lost 56%, as Stock Drops 15% This Past Week

Shareholders in Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) Have Lost 56%, as Stock Drops 15% This Past Week

诺德斯特龙(纽约证券交易所代码:JWN)的股东下跌了56%,上周股价下跌了15%
Simply Wall St ·  03/13 08:49

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Nordstrom, Inc. (NYSE:JWN) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Unfortunately, they have held through a 60% decline in the share price in that time. On top of that, the share price is down 15% in the last week.

如果你喜欢投资股票,你一定会买入一些输家。但是,诺德斯特龙公司(纽约证券交易所代码:JWN)的长期股东在过去三年中表现不佳。不幸的是,在那段时间内,他们的股价一直下跌了60%。最重要的是,上周股价下跌了15%。

Since Nordstrom has shed US$503m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于Nordstrom在过去7天内已将其价值减少了5.03亿美元,因此让我们看看长期下跌是否是由该企业的经济推动的。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Nordstrom moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在五年的股价增长中,诺德斯特龙从亏损转为盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。因此,值得研究其他指标来了解股价走势。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. It's good to see that Nordstrom has increased its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

我们注意到,股息似乎足够健康,因此这可能无法解释股价下跌的原因。很高兴看到诺德斯特龙在过去三年中增加了收入。但是我们不清楚为什么股价下跌。可能值得深入研究基本面,以免机会流失。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:JWN Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2024
纽约证券交易所:JWN收益和收入增长 2024年3月13日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Nordstrom, it has a TSR of -56% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就诺德斯特龙而言,在过去3年的股东回报率为-56%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Nordstrom provided a TSR of 13% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 9% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Nordstrom is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

在过去的十二个月中,诺德斯特龙的股东回报率为13%。但这低于市场平均水平。但至少这还是个好处!在过去的五年中,股东总回报率在五年内每年下降9%。因此,这可能表明该企业已经扭转了命运。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。即便如此,请注意,诺德斯特龙在我们的投资分析中显示了4个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视...

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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