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Is Xinlun New Materials (SZSE:002341) Using Debt Sensibly?

Is Xinlun New Materials (SZSE:002341) Using Debt Sensibly?

信伦新材(深圳证券交易所:002341)是否明智地使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  03/06 19:41

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Xinlun New Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002341) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到,新纶新材料有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002341)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了对一家能够以高回报率进行再投资的公司的摊薄时。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is Xinlun New Materials's Net Debt?

新纶新材的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Xinlun New Materials had CN¥2.25b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥2.46b, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示新纶新材料在2023年9月有22.5亿元人民币的债务,低于一年前的24.6亿元人民币。而且它没有太多现金,因此其净负债大致相同。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002341 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024
SZSE: 002341 2024 年 3 月 7 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Healthy Is Xinlun New Materials' Balance Sheet?

新纶新材的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Xinlun New Materials had liabilities of CN¥3.08b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥696.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥17.3m in cash and CN¥620.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.13b.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,新纶新材料的负债为30.8亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为6.966亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有1730万元的现金和6.201亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额31.3亿元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.70b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Xinlun New Materials' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xinlun New Materials will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

相对于其370亿元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注新伦新材料的债务使用情况。这表明,如果公司需要迅速支撑资产负债表,股东将被严重稀释。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为新纶新材料需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Xinlun New Materials had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 25%, to CN¥719m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,新纶新材在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了25%,至7.19亿元人民币。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Xinlun New Materials's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥719m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥1.4b into a profit. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xinlun New Materials .

尽管新纶新材收入的下降像湿毯一样令人心动,但可以说,其息税前收益(EBIT)亏损的吸引力更小。其息税前利润亏损高达7.19亿元人民币。当我们审视这一点并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,对我们来说,公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管可以随着时间的推移而改善。如果它将过去十二个月的14亿元人民币的亏损转化为利润,我们会感觉更好。因此,坦率地说,我们确实认为这是有风险的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该注意我们在新纶新材料上发现的1个警告标志。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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