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Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down Shenzhen Cereals Holdings Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000019) Stock

Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down Shenzhen Cereals Holdings Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000019) Stock

疲软的财务前景似乎拖累了深圳谷物控股有限公司, Ltd (深圳证券交易所:000019) 股票
Simply Wall St ·  03/06 17:20

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000019) recent performance, when its stock has declined 13% over the past three months. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. Specifically, we decided to study Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's ROE in this article.

看了深圳谷物控股有限公司(SZSE:000019)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时其股票在过去三个月中下跌了13%。为了决定这种趋势能否持续下去,我们决定研究其疲软的基本面,因为它们塑造了长期市场趋势。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究深圳谷物控股有限公司的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,深圳谷物控股有限公司的投资回报率为:

7.8% = CN¥374m ÷ CN¥4.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

7.8% = 3.74亿元人民币 ÷ 48亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.08.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着公司每投资1元人民币,公司就会产生0.08元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.8% ROE

深圳谷物控股有限公司的收益增长和7.8%的投资回报率的并排比较

At first glance, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.5%. Having said that, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's net income growth over the past five years is more or less flat. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. Hence, this provides some context to the flat earnings growth seen by the company.

乍一看,深圳谷物控股有限公司的投资回报率看起来并不十分乐观。然而,一项更仔细的研究表明,该公司的投资回报率与行业平均水平的8.5%相似。话虽如此,深圳谷物控股有限公司在过去五年中的净收入增长基本持平。请记住,该公司的投资回报率不是很高。因此,这为公司盈利的持平增长提供了一些背景信息。

We then compared Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 7.3% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将深圳谷物控股有限公司的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数字低于同期7.3%的行业平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000019 Past Earnings Growth March 6th 2024
SZSE:000019 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 6 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。如果你想知道深圳谷物控股有限公司的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

深圳谷物控股有限公司是否在有效使用其留存收益?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 67% (meaning, the company retains only 33% of profits) for Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd suggests that the company's earnings growth was miniscule as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

深圳谷物控股有限公司三年来最高的派息率中位数为67%(这意味着该公司仅保留利润的33%),这表明由于支付了大部分收益,该公司的收益增长微乎其微。

In addition, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,深圳谷物控股有限公司至少十年来一直在派发股息,这表明即使以业务增长为代价,继续支付股息对管理层来说也更为重要。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's performance is quite a big let-down. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

总体而言,深圳谷物控股有限公司的表现相当令人失望。由于保留的利润很少,该公司一直缺乏收益增长,无论保留的利润很少,都以非常低的回报率进行再投资。到目前为止,我们仅就公司的收益增长进行了简短的讨论。要进一步了解深圳谷物控股有限公司过去的利润增长,请查看这份过去收益、收入和现金流的可视化图表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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