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The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Kunlun Energy (HKG:135) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.5% Over the Past Week

The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Kunlun Energy (HKG:135) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.5% Over the Past Week

由于过去一周股价下跌5.5%,五年收益的下降可能会给昆仑能源(HKG: 135)的股东造成损失
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 18:46

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more -- or less -- than that. The Kunlun Energy Company Limited (HKG:135) stock price is down 24% over five years, but the total shareholder return is 34% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 14% over the same time. On top of that, the share price is down 5.5% in the last week.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但是,如果你选择正确的个股,你的收入可能会比这更多或更少。昆仑能源有限公司(HKG: 135)的股价在五年内下跌了24%,但计入股息后,股东总回报率为34%。这比同期下跌14%的市场要好。最重要的是,上周股价下跌了5.5%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Kunlun Energy isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果说过去一周有意义的话,投资者对昆仑能源的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

Looking back five years, both Kunlun Energy's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 1.1% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 5% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 10.02.

回顾五年,昆仑能源的股价和每股收益均有所下降;后者每年下降1.1%。读者应注意,在此期间,股价的下跌速度快于每股收益,每年为5%。这意味着市场此前对该股过于乐观。不太乐观的情绪反映在其目前的市盈率10.02中。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:135 Earnings Per Share Growth March 5th 2024
SEHK: 135 每股收益增长 2024 年 3 月 5 日

We know that Kunlun Energy has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Kunlun Energy stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

我们知道昆仑能源在过去三年中提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?如果您正在考虑买入或卖出昆仑能源股票,则应在其资产负债表上查看这份免费的详细报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Kunlun Energy's TSR for the last 5 years was 34%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。碰巧的是,昆仑能源过去5年的股东总回报率为34%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Kunlun Energy has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 3.0% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, that falls short of the 6% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Kunlun Energy is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高兴看到昆仑能源在过去十二个月中向股东提供了3.0%的总股东回报率。这包括股息。但是,这低于其在五年内每年为股东创造的6%的股东总回报率。潜在买家可能会觉得他们错过了机会,这是可以理解的,但业务总是有可能全力以赴的。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意,昆仑能源在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该知道...

But note: Kunlun Energy may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:昆仑能源可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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