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Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd (SHSE:603876) A Risky Investment?

Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd (SHSE:603876) A Risky Investment?

江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603876)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 18:07

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603876) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,江苏鼎盛新材料股份有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:603876)使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's Debt?

江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的债务是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd had CN¥7.17b of debt, up from CN¥6.34b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥8.43b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.26b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的债务为71.7亿元人民币,高于去年同期的63.4亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但它也有84.3亿元的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为12.6亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603876 Debt to Equity History March 5th 2024
SHSE: 603876 2024 年 3 月 5 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's Balance Sheet?

江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd had liabilities of CN¥14.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.90b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.43b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.59b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.71b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的负债为148亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为29.0亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有84.3亿元人民币的现金以及价值35.9亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出57.1亿元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥8.15b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

相对于其81.5亿元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的债务使用情况。如果其贷款人要求其支撑资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。尽管负债可观,但江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 41% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

如果管理层无法阻止去年削减41%的息税前利润,那么其适度的债务负担对江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司来说可能变得至关重要。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益将决定江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's free cash flow amounted to 41% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的自由现金流占其息税前利润的41%,低于我们的预期。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。

Summing Up

总结

Although Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥1.26b. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd's balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jiangsu Dingsheng New Materials Ltd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管由于负债总额,江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的资产负债表并不是特别强劲,但其净现金为12.6亿元人民币显然是乐观的。因此,尽管我们看到了一些需要改进的地方,但我们对江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司的资产负债表并不太担心。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经向江苏鼎盛新材料有限公司确定了1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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