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Has White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (NYSE:WTM) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (NYSE:WTM) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

有怀特山脉保险集团有限公司。”s(纽约证券交易所代码:WTM)令人印象深刻的股票表现与其基本面有关吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/02 09:46

Most readers would already be aware that White Mountains Insurance Group's (NYSE:WTM) stock increased significantly by 14% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to White Mountains Insurance Group's ROE today.

大多数读者已经意识到,怀特山保险集团(纽约证券交易所代码:WTM)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了14%。正如大多数人所知道的那样,基本面通常是指导市场价格长期走势的因素,因此我们今天决定研究公司的关键财务指标,以确定它们在近期的价格走势中是否可以发挥任何作用。特别是,我们今天将关注怀特山保险集团的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for White Mountains Insurance Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,怀特山保险集团的投资回报率为:

13% = US$581m ÷ US$4.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

13% = 5.81亿美元 ÷ 46亿美元(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.13.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1美元,公司就会产生0.13美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

White Mountains Insurance Group's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

怀特山保险集团的收益增长和13%的投资回报率

To start with, White Mountains Insurance Group's ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks quite decent. As you might expect, the 8.3% net income decline reported by White Mountains Insurance Group is a bit of a surprise. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,怀特山保险集团的投资回报率似乎可以接受。即使与行业平均水平的13%相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当不错。正如你所预料的那样,怀特山保险集团报告的8.3%的净收入下降有点令人惊讶。基于此,我们认为可能还有其他原因本文迄今尚未讨论过,这些原因可能会阻碍公司的发展。例如,可能是该公司的派息率很高,或者企业的资本配置不当。

However, when we compared White Mountains Insurance Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.0% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将怀特山保险集团的增长与该行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但该行业同期的收益增长了8.0%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:WTM Past Earnings Growth March 2nd 2024
纽约证券交易所:WTM过去的收益增长 2024年3月2日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if White Mountains Insurance Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查怀特山保险集团相对于其行业的市盈率是高还是低。

Is White Mountains Insurance Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

怀特山保险集团是否在有效利用其利润?

White Mountains Insurance Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 0.4% (or a retention ratio of 100%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

怀特山保险集团在过去三年中低的三年派息率中位数为0.4%(或100%的留存率),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益来推动增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经萎缩。当公司保留大部分收益时,通常不应出现这种情况。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

In addition, White Mountains Insurance Group has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,怀特山保险集团至少十年来一直在支付股息,这表明即使以业务增长为代价,继续支付股息对管理层来说也更为重要。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we do feel that White Mountains Insurance Group has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business.

总的来说,我们确实认为怀特山保险集团有一些积极的属性。但是,尽管投资回报率和再投资率很高,但我们仍然对收益缺乏增长感到失望。我们认为,可能会有一些外部因素对业务产生负面影响。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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