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American Express' (NYSE:AXP) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the Strong Shareholder Returns

American Express' (NYSE:AXP) Five-year Earnings Growth Trails the Strong Shareholder Returns

美国运通(纽约证券交易所代码:AXP)的五年收益增长落后于强劲的股东回报
Simply Wall St ·  02/29 06:52

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of American Express Company (NYSE:AXP) stock is up an impressive 100% over the last five years. It's also good to see the share price up 28% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 11% in 90 days).

当你购买一家公司的股票时,值得记住的是它可能倒闭,你可能会蒙受损失。但是,当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你可以 使 超过 100%。例如,美国运通公司(纽约证券交易所代码:AXP)的股票价格在过去五年中上涨了令人印象深刻的100%。股价比上个季度上涨28%也令人高兴。但是,这一举措很可能得到了相当活跃的市场(90天内上涨了11%)的推动。

Since it's been a strong week for American Express shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于对美国运通股东来说,这是强劲的一周,让我们来看看长期基本面的趋势。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During five years of share price growth, American Express achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 7.5% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 15% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在五年的股价增长中,美国运通实现了每年7.5%的复合每股收益(EPS)增长。每股收益的增长低于股价平均年增长15%。因此,可以公平地假设市场对该业务的看法比五年前更高。考虑到五年的收益增长记录,这并不一定令人惊讶。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:AXP Earnings Per Share Growth February 29th 2024
纽约证券交易所:AXP 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 29 日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free interactive report on American Express' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

我们认为,内部人士在去年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。即便如此,未来的收益对于当前股东是否赚钱将更为重要。如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于美国运通收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, American Express' TSR for the last 5 years was 115%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,美国运通过去5年的股东总回报率为115%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

American Express provided a TSR of 26% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 17%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand American Express better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for American Express that you should be aware of.

美国运通全年股东总回报率为26%(包括股息)。这相当接近更广泛的市场回报。大多数人会对收益感到满意,而今年的回报率实际上好于五年的平均回报率(17%),这很有帮助。即使股价增长从现在开始放缓,从长远来看,这很可能是值得关注的业务。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解美国运通,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定了美国运通的两个警告标志,你应该注意这些标志。

American Express is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

美国运通并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。对于那些喜欢寻找获利投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费清单可能就是入场券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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