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Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology (SZSE:002376) A Risky Investment?

Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology (SZSE:002376) A Risky Investment?

山东新北洋信息科技(SZSE:002376)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/28 02:49

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002376) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,山东新北洋信息技术有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002376)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology's Net Debt?

山东新北洋信息科技的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology had CN¥1.28b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.75b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥638.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥636.3m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,山东新北洋信息科技的债务为12.8亿元人民币,低于去年同期的17.5亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有6.388亿元的现金,净负债约为6.363亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002376 Debt to Equity History February 28th 2024
SZSE: 002376 2024 年 2 月 28 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology's Balance Sheet?

山东新北洋信息科技的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥891.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥638.8m in cash and CN¥779.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥572.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,山东新北洋信息科技在12个月内到期的负债为11.0亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为8.915亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有6.388亿元的现金和7.792亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额为5.723亿元人民币,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。

Of course, Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.09b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

当然,山东新北洋信息科技的市值为40.9亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监督资产负债表。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为山东新北洋信息技术需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

In the last year Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to CN¥2.2b. That's not what we would hope to see.

去年,山东新北洋信息技术在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了11%,至22亿元人民币。这不是我们希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥55m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥45m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

在过去的十二个月中,山东新北洋信息科技不仅收入下滑,而且还产生了负的息税前收益(EBIT)。具体而言,息税前利润亏损为5500万元人民币。当我们审视这一点并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,对我们来说,公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管可以随着时间的推移而改善。例如,我们不希望看到去年4,500万元人民币的亏损重演。同时,我们认为该股风险很大。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,山东新北洋信息科技有 2 个警示标志(其中一个很重要),我们认为你应该知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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