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Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 7.5% Over the Past 5 Years, CITIC (HKG:267) Has Been Growing Its Earnings

Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 7.5% Over the Past 5 Years, CITIC (HKG:267) Has Been Growing Its Earnings

尽管在过去的5年中给投资者带来了7.5%的损失,但中信(HKG: 267)的收益一直在增长
Simply Wall St ·  02/26 19:31

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the CITIC Limited (HKG:267) share price has gained 11% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 32% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

尽管这不是一个令人难以置信的举动,但很高兴看到中信有限公司(HKG: 267)的股价在过去三个月中上涨了11%。但这并不能改变这样一个事实,即过去五年的回报并不令人满意。毕竟,当时股价下跌了32%,表现大大低于市场。

The recent uptick of 4.5% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近4.5%的上涨可能是即将发生的事情的积极信号,因此让我们来看看历史基本面。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

While the share price declined over five years, CITIC actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 11% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在五年内下跌,但中信实际上设法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增长11%。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性亏损或收益)。或者,过去的增长预期可能是不合理的。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长与股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

我们注意到股息一直保持健康,因此这并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前尚不清楚为什么股价下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:267 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 27th 2024
SEHK: 267 2024年2月27日收益及收入增长

If you are thinking of buying or selling CITIC stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考虑买入或卖出中信股票,则应在其资产负债表上查看这份免费的详细报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, CITIC's TSR for the last 5 years was -7.5%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。碰巧的是,中信过去5年的股东总回报率为-7.5%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Although it hurts that CITIC returned a loss of 1.2% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 7.5%. What is more upsetting is the 1.5% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CITIC better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that CITIC is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

尽管中信在过去十二个月中回报了1.2%的亏损令人痛心,但整个市场实际上更糟,回报了7.5%的亏损。更令人沮丧的是,在过去的五年中,投资者每年遭受1.5%的损失。这种股价走势并不特别令人鼓舞,但至少亏损正在放缓。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解中信,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,请注意,中信在我们的投资分析中显示了1个警告信号,您应该知道...

But note: CITIC may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:中信可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,来看看这份过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的免费清单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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