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Those Who Invested in Anhui Gujing Distillery (SZSE:000596) Five Years Ago Are up 205%

Those Who Invested in Anhui Gujing Distillery (SZSE:000596) Five Years Ago Are up 205%

五年前投资安徽古井酒厂(SZSE: 000596)的人上涨了205%
Simply Wall St ·  02/21 22:55

It hasn't been the best quarter for Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000596) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 13% in that time. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. It's fair to say most would be happy with 190% the gain in that time. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 20% decline over the last twelve months.

对于安徽古井酒厂股份有限公司(SZSE: 000596)股东来说,这并不是最好的季度,因为当时股价已经下跌了13%。但这丝毫不影响该公司在五年内创造的真正稳健的长期回报。可以公平地说,大多数人会对那段时间内190%的收益感到满意。一般而言,与短期回报相比,长期回报将使您更好地了解业务质量。当然,这并不一定意味着它现在很便宜。不幸的是,并非所有股东都会长期持有该股票,因此请多考虑那些在过去十二个月中跌幅为20%的股东。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们调查一下,看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Over half a decade, Anhui Gujing Distillery managed to grow its earnings per share at 21% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 24% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

在过去的五年中,安徽古井酒厂设法将每股收益增长到每年21%。每股收益的增长相当接近股价年均增长24%。这表明该公司周围的市场情绪在那段时间内没有太大变化。实际上,股价似乎在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增长。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

该公司的每股收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000596 Earnings Per Share Growth February 22nd 2024
SZSE: 000596 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 22 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Anhui Gujing Distillery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官要适中。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。查看这张安徽古井酒厂收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Anhui Gujing Distillery, it has a TSR of 205% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。以安徽古井酒厂为例,在过去的5年中,其股东回报率为205%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

The total return of 19% received by Anhui Gujing Distillery shareholders over the last year isn't far from the market return of -20%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 25%, each year, over five years. If the stock price has been impacted by changing sentiment, rather than deteriorating business conditions, it could spell opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Anhui Gujing Distillery you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

安徽古井酒厂股东去年获得的总回报率为19%,与-20%的市场回报率相差不远。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚25%。如果股价受到情绪变化的影响,而不是商业状况恶化,则可能意味着机会。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。一个很好的例子:我们已经发现了安徽古井酒厂的两个警告标志,你应该注意其中 1 个警示标志,其中一个有点令人担忧。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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