share_log

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Greentown Service Group Co. Ltd. (HKG:2869)?

股价下跌和基本面稳健:绿城服务集团公司的市场错了吗有限公司 (HKG: 2869)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/16 17:36

With its stock down 11% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Greentown Service Group (HKG:2869). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Greentown Service Group's ROE today.

绿城服务集团(HKG: 2869)的股票在过去三个月中下跌了11%,很容易被忽视。但是,仔细观察其良好的财务状况可能会让你重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常会推动长期市场业绩,该公司值得关注。特别是,我们今天将关注绿城服务集团的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Greentown Service Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,绿城服务集团的投资回报率为:

8.6% = CN¥698m ÷ CN¥8.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

8.6% = 6.98亿元人民币 ÷ 81亿元人民币(基于截至2023年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.09 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。这意味着,每获得价值1港元的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.09港元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Greentown Service Group's Earnings Growth And 8.6% ROE

绿城服务集团的收益增长和8.6%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Greentown Service Group's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.1% which we definitely can't overlook. This probably goes some way in explaining Greentown Service Group's moderate 8.0% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

从表面上看,绿城服务集团的投资回报率没什么好谈的。尽管一项更仔细的研究表明,该公司的投资回报率高于行业平均水平的6.1%,但我们绝对不能忽视。除其他因素外,这可能在某种程度上解释了绿城服务集团在过去五年中8.0%的温和增长。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实适度低。只是行业的投资回报率较低。因此,收益的增长也可能是其他因素的结果。例如,该公司的派息率较低,或者可能属于高增长行业。

As a next step, we compared Greentown Service Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 2.6%.

下一步,我们将绿城服务集团的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,令人高兴的是,我们发现该公司的增长高于行业平均增长2.6%。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:2869 Past Earnings Growth February 16th 2024
SEHK: 2869 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 16 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Greentown Service Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论如何,投资者应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。与其他公司相比,绿城服务集团的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Greentown Service Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

绿城服务集团是否有效地将其利润再投资?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 46% (implying that the company retains 54% of its profits), it seems that Greentown Service Group is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

绿城服务集团的三年派息率中位数为46%(这意味着该公司保留了54%的利润),看来绿城服务集团正在进行有效的再投资,其收益将实现可观的增长,并支付可观的股息。

Moreover, Greentown Service Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of seven years of paying a dividend. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 49%. Still, forecasts suggest that Greentown Service Group's future ROE will rise to 13% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,绿城服务集团决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其七年支付股息的长期历史中推断出来的。根据分析师的最新估计,我们发现该公司未来三年的派息率预计将稳定在49%。尽管如此,预测表明,绿城服务集团未来的投资回报率将升至13%,尽管该公司的派息率预计不会有太大变化。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that Greentown Service Group's performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们认为绿城服务集团的表现相当不错。具体而言,我们喜欢它一直在以适度的回报率再投资其很大一部分利润,从而实现了收益的扩张。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发