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Karin Technology Holdings (SGX:K29) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Karin Technology Holdings (SGX:K29) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

凯伦科技控股(新加坡证券交易所股票代码:K29)的强劲利润可能掩盖了一些潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  02/15 17:17

The market shrugged off Karin Technology Holdings Limited's (SGX:K29) solid earnings report. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

市场对凯伦科技控股有限公司(新加坡证券交易所股票代码:K29)稳健的收益报告不屑一顾。我们的分析表明,收益中存在一些令人担忧的因素,投资者可能会谨慎行事。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SGX:K29 Earnings and Revenue History February 15th 2024
新加坡证券交易所:K29 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 2 月 15 日

Zooming In On Karin Technology Holdings' Earnings

放大Karin Technology Holdings的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Karin Technology Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$101m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$46.4m. Notably, Karin Technology Holdings had negative free cash flow last year, so the HK$101m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,凯伦科技控股的应计比率为-0.10。这表明其自由现金流远超过其法定利润。换句话说,它在此期间产生了1.01亿港元的自由现金流,使其报告的4,640万港元利润相形见绌。值得注意的是,凯伦科技控股去年的自由现金流为负,因此其今年的1.01亿港元是一个可喜的改善。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Karin Technology Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对凯伦科技控股的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Surprisingly, given Karin Technology Holdings' accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by HK$33m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Karin Technology Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

令人惊讶的是,鉴于Karin Technology Holdings的应计比率意味着强劲的现金转换,其票面利润实际上是由3300万港元的不寻常项目提振的。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。我们可以看到,相对于截至2023年12月的一年中,凯伦科技控股的正面不寻常项目与其利润相比相当可观。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显高于原来的水平。

Our Take On Karin Technology Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对凯琳科技控股盈利表现的看法

Karin Technology Holdings' profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Karin Technology Holdings' statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Karin Technology Holdings.

Karin Technology Holdings的利润因不寻常的项目而得到提振,这表明利润可能无法持续下去,但其应计比率仍然显示出稳健的现金转换,这令人鼓舞。基于这些因素,我们认为Karin Technology Holdings的法定利润使其看起来比现在疲软得多的可能性很小。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,我们发现了3个警告信号,为了更好地了解凯伦科技控股的情况,你应该仔细检查一下。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在本文中,我们研究了许多可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,以此作为业务指南。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多值得发现的地方。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。尽管可能需要代表你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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