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What Does Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's (NYSE:TMHC) Share Price Indicate?

What Does Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's (NYSE:TMHC) Share Price Indicate?

泰勒·莫里森家居公司(纽约证券交易所代码:TMHC)的股价表明了什么?
Simply Wall St ·  02/12 08:51

While Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading at close to its 52-week high. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Taylor Morrison Home's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

尽管泰勒·莫里森家居公司(纽约证券交易所代码:TMHC)的市值可能不是最大的,但它在过去几周内以相对较大的价格上涨带领纽约证券交易所上涨。最近股价的上涨意味着该公司的交易价格接近52周高点。由于许多分析师都在报道中盘股,我们可能预计,任何对价格敏感的公告都已计入该股的股价。但是,如果股票仍然很便宜怎么办?今天,我们将分析有关泰勒·莫里森家居前景和估值的最新数据,看看机会是否仍然存在。

What's The Opportunity In Taylor Morrison Home?

泰勒·莫里森家里有什么机会?

Taylor Morrison Home appears to be overvalued by 21% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$53.91 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of $44.51. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Taylor Morrison Home's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

根据我们的折扣现金流估值,泰勒·莫里森房屋目前似乎被高估了21%。该股目前的市场定价为53.91美元,而我们的内在价值为44.51美元。对于想要买入的投资者来说,这不是最好的消息!但是,未来还有其他低价买入的机会吗?鉴于Taylor Morrison Home的股票波动相当大(即其价格相对于其他市场的价格变动被放大),这可能意味着价格可能会下跌,从而使我们有机会在未来再次买入。这是基于其高贝塔值,这是衡量股价波动的良好指标。

What kind of growth will Taylor Morrison Home generate?

泰勒·莫里森家居将带来什么样的增长?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:TMHC Earnings and Revenue Growth February 12th 2024
纽约证券交易所:TMHC收益和收入增长 2024年2月12日

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Taylor Morrison Home, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -17%, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能需要在购买公司股票之前考虑公司的前景。以低廉的价格收购一家前景看好的优秀公司永远是一项不错的投资,因此,让我们也来看看公司的未来预期。尽管就泰勒·莫里森家居而言,预计其收益将实现-17%的负增长,这无助于建立其投资理念。看来未来不确定性的风险很高,至少在短期内是如此。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? If you believe TMHC is currently trading above its value, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股东吗?如果您认为TMHC目前的交易价格高于其价值,那么高价卖出并在其价格跌至实际价值时再次回购可以获利。鉴于负增长前景带来的风险,这可能是降低投资组合风险的合适时机。但是在做出这个决定之前,先看看它的基本面是否发生了变化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on TMHC for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. you may want to reconsider buying the stock at this time. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

你是潜在的投资者吗?如果你关注TMHC已有一段时间了,那么现在可能不是入股的最佳时机。此时你可能需要重新考虑买入该股。除了负面的未来前景外,其价格已超过其真实价值。但是,还有其他重要因素我们今天没有考虑,例如其管理的往绩。如果将来价格下跌,您是否足够了解情况,可以购买?

If you want to dive deeper into Taylor Morrison Home, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Taylor Morrison Home you should be aware of.

如果你想更深入地了解泰勒·莫里森的住宅,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。一个很好的例子:我们发现了一个你应该注意的泰勒·莫里森家的警告标志。

If you are no longer interested in Taylor Morrison Home, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果你不再对Taylor Morrison Home感兴趣,你可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们列出的其他50多只具有高增长潜力的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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