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Shanghai Stonehill Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002195) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Shanghai Stonehill Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002195) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

上海石山科技有限公司's (SZSE: 002195) 股票飙升但财务状况似乎前后矛盾:上涨趋势会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  02/09 00:17

Most readers would already be aware that Shanghai Stonehill Technology's (SZSE:002195) stock increased significantly by 8.2% over the past week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Stonehill Technology's ROE.

大多数读者已经意识到,上海石山科技(深圳证券交易所:002195)的股票在过去一周大幅上涨了8.2%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。在本文中,我们决定重点关注上海石山科技的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它衡量公司相对于股东权益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Stonehill Technology is:

因此,根据上述公式,上海石山科技的投资回报率为:

2.2% = CN¥216m ÷ CN¥9.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

2.2% = 2.16亿元人民币 ÷ 96亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.02元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Shanghai Stonehill Technology's Earnings Growth And 2.2% ROE

上海石山科技的收益增长和2.2%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Shanghai Stonehill Technology's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 4.4%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Shanghai Stonehill Technology's five year net income decline of 36% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很明显,上海石山科技的投资回报率相当低。不仅如此,即使与4.4%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。出于这个原因,鉴于其投资回报率较低,上海石山科技五年净收入下降了36%,这并不奇怪。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如-收益保留率低或资本配置不佳。

That being said, we compared Shanghai Stonehill Technology's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 4.8% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将上海Stonehill Technology的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在5年同期以4.8%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002195 Past Earnings Growth February 9th 2024
SZSE: 002195 过去的收益增长 2024 年 2 月 9 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai Stonehill Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。与其他公司相比,上海石山科技的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Shanghai Stonehill Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海石山科技是否在有效利用其利润?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (where it is retaining 71% of its profits), Shanghai Stonehill Technology has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

尽管正常的三年派息率中位数为29%(保留了71%的利润),但如上所示,上海石山科技的收益却有所下降。看来可能还有其他一些原因可以解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能会下滑。

Moreover, Shanghai Stonehill Technology has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海Stonehill Technology派发股息已有至少十年或更长时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢股息而不是收益增长。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shanghai Stonehill Technology. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 5 risks we have identified for Shanghai Stonehill Technology visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来说,我们对上海石山科技有喜忧参半的感觉。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。要了解我们为上海石山科技确定的5种风险,请免费访问我们的风险控制面板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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