share_log

Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd (SHSE:601116) Sheds CN¥526m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd (SHSE:601116) Sheds CN¥526m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

三江购物俱乐部有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:601116)下跌5.26亿元人民币,公司收益和投资者回报率在过去五年中一直呈下降趋势
Simply Wall St ·  02/07 20:46

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Sanjiang Shopping Club Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601116) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 29% over a half decade. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 22% over the last twelve months. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 29% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 17% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是,几乎每个投资者都肯定会有表现过硬和表现不佳的股票。因此,从长远来看,我们不会责怪三江购物俱乐部有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:601116)的股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了29%。而且我们怀疑长期信徒是唯一担心的持有者,因为股价在过去十二个月中下跌了22%。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了29%。当然,这种股价走势很可能受到了整个时期大盘下跌17%的影响。

Since Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd has shed CN¥526m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于三江购物俱乐部在过去7天内已从其价值下跌了5.26亿元人民币,让我们看看长期下跌是否是由该企业的经济推动的。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.4% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 7% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

在股价下跌的五年中,三江购物俱乐部有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降0.4%。每股收益的下降幅度低于股价每年下降的7%。这意味着市场此前对该股过于乐观。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片发现确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601116 Earnings Per Share Growth February 8th 2024
SHSE: 601116 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 8 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

不妨看看我们关于三江购物俱乐部的收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd, it has a TSR of -23% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。以三江购物俱乐部有限公司为例,在过去的5年中,其股东回报率为-23%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 20% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 24%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd (1 is a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但三江购物俱乐部的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的20%亏损没有市场损失24%左右那么严重。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中4%的年化亏损还要糟糕。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了三江购物俱乐部的两个警告标志(其中一个有点令人担忧),你应该注意这些标志。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发