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We Think Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology (SZSE:301268) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology (SZSE:301268) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为深圳明利达精密科技(SZSE: 301268)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  02/06 00:01

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301268) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,深圳明利达精密科技股份有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:301268)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人的债务,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's Debt?

深圳明利达精密科技的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology had debt of CN¥1.48b, up from CN¥584.4m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.47b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥13.9m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,深圳明利达精密科技的债务为14.8亿元人民币,高于一年内的5.844亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有14.7亿元的现金,净负债约为1390万元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301268 Debt to Equity History February 6th 2024
SZSE: 301268 2024 年 2 月 6 日债务与股权比率历史记录

How Strong Is Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's Balance Sheet?

深圳铭利达精密科技的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.98b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.22b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.47b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.25b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥478.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,深圳明利达精密科技的负债为19.8亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为12.2亿元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有14.7亿元人民币的现金以及价值12.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出4.782亿元人民币。

Of course, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥7.42b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology has a very light debt load indeed.

当然,深圳铭利达精密科技的市值为742亿元人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。深圳明利达精密科技几乎没有净负债,债务负担确实很轻。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

With debt at a measly 0.024 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 15.3 times, it's clear that Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. On top of that, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology grew its EBIT by 65% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

债务仅为息税折旧摊销前利润的0.024倍,息税前利润覆盖利息高达15.3倍,很明显,深圳明利达精密科技并不是一个绝望的借款人。事实上,相对于其收益,其债务负担似乎轻如鸿毛。最重要的是,深圳明利达精密科技在过去十二个月中将其息税前利润增长了65%,这种增长将使其更容易处理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定深圳明利达精密科技未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,深圳明利达精密科技总共出现了可观的负自由现金流。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

The good news is that Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

好消息是,深圳明利达精密科技表现出用息税前利润支付利息支出的能力,这使我们感到高兴,就像毛茸茸的小狗对待幼儿一样。但严峻的事实是,我们对其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流感到担忧。当我们考虑上述一系列因素时,深圳铭利达精密科技使用债务似乎相当明智。尽管这带来了一些风险,但也可以提高股东的回报。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。我们已经确定了深圳铭利达精密科技的两个警告信号(至少一个是重要的),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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