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Investing in General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 78% Gain

Investing in General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 78% Gain

三年前投资通用动力(纽约证券交易所代码:GD)将为您带来78%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 08:12

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. Just take a look at General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:GD), which is up 66%, over three years, soundly beating the market return of 11% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 17% , including dividends .

通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但是,如果你以诱人的价格收购优秀的企业,你的投资组合回报率可能会超过平均市场回报。看看通用动力公司(纽约证券交易所代码:GD),该公司在三年内上涨了66%,远远超过了11%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回报并不那么好,股东仅增长了17%,包括股息。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们调查一下,看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During three years of share price growth, General Dynamics achieved compound earnings per share growth of 3.2% per year. In comparison, the 18% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This suggests that, as the business progressed over the last few years, it gained the confidence of market participants. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.

在三年的股价增长中,通用动力实现了每年3.2%的复合每股收益增长。相比之下,股价每年18%的涨幅超过了每股收益的增长。这表明,随着业务在过去几年中的发展,它赢得了市场参与者的信心。在经历了几年的稳步进展之后,投资者对企业着迷是很常见的。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:GD Earnings Per Share Growth February 5th 2024
纽约证券交易所:GD 每股收益增长 2024 年 2 月 5 日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on General Dynamics' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

像我们一样,内部人士在过去的十二个月中一直在购买股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。可能值得一看我们关于通用动力收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for General Dynamics the TSR over the last 3 years was 78%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。我们注意到,通用动力过去3年的股东总回报率为78%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

General Dynamics provided a TSR of 17% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 12% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of General Dynamics by clicking this link.

通用动力在过去十二个月中提供的股东总回报率为17%。但这低于市场平均水平。一线希望是,收益实际上好于五年内每年12%的平均年回报率。这可能表明该公司在推行其战略时正在赢得新投资者的青睐。喜欢赚钱的投资者通常会查看内幕收购,例如支付的价格和购买的总金额。您可以通过点击此链接了解通用动力公司的内幕收购。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

还有很多其他公司有内部人士购买股票。你可能不想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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