Deckers Outdoor Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Deckers Outdoor Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market expectations.
德克斯户外用品公司（纽约证券交易所代码：DECK）无视分析师的预测发布了第三季度业绩，该业绩超出了市场预期。
It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 7.3% to hit US$1.6b. Deckers Outdoor also reported a statutory profit of US$15.11, which was an impressive 30% above what the analysts had forecast.
总体而言，这是一个积极的结果，收入比预期高出7.3％，达到16亿美元。Deckers Outdoor还公布了15.11美元的法定利润，比分析师的预测高出30％，令人印象深刻。
This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
对于投资者来说，这是一个重要时刻，因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩，看看专家对明年的预测，看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。因此，我们收集了最新的财报后预测，以了解估计对明年的预测。
NYSE:DECK Earnings and Revenue Growth February 4th 2024
纽约证券交易所：DECK 收益和收入增长 2024 年 2 月 4 日
Following the latest results, Deckers Outdoor's 20 analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$4.65b in 2025. This would be a solid 13% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 4.9% to US$29.52. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$4.53b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$27.52 in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.
根据最新业绩，Deckers Outdoor的20位分析师现在预测2025年的收入为46.5亿美元。与过去12个月相比，这将使收入稳步增长13％。每股收益预计将累积4.9％，至29.52美元。然而，在最新财报公布之前，分析师曾预计2025年收入为45.3亿美元，每股收益（EPS）为27.52美元。最新业绩公布后，市场情绪似乎略有增加，分析师对收入和收益的预测变得更加乐观了。
With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 17% to US$878per share.
通过这些升级，分析师将目标股价上调了17％至每股878美元，我们并不感到惊讶。
Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Deckers Outdoor analyst has a price target of US$1,150 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$525. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
但是，固定单一价格目标可能是不明智的，因为共识目标实际上是分析师目标股价的平均值。因此，一些投资者喜欢查看估计范围，看看对公司的估值是否有任何分歧。最乐观的Deckers Outdoor分析师将目标股价定为每股1,150美元，而最悲观的分析师则将其估值为525美元。这是相当广泛的估计，表明分析师正在预测该业务的各种可能结果。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Deckers Outdoor's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that Deckers Outdoor's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 10% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 16% p.a. growth over the last five years.
这些估计很有趣，但是在查看预测与Deckers Outdoor过去的表现以及与同一行业的同行进行比较时，可以更粗略地描述一些细节。我们要强调的是，预计Deckers Outdoor的收入增长将放缓，预计到2025年底的10％的年化增长率将远低于过去五年16％的历史年增长率。
Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 7.1% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while Deckers Outdoor's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.
将其与业内其他有分析师报道的公司并列，预计这些公司的收入（总计）每年将增长7.1％。因此，很明显，尽管预计Deckers Outdoor的收入增长将放缓，但预计其增长速度仍将超过该行业本身。