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Dongxing Securities' (SHSE:601198) Three-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

Dongxing Securities' (SHSE:601198) Three-year Decline in Earnings Translates Into Losses for Shareholders

东兴证券(上海证券交易所代码:601198)的三年收益下降转化为股东的亏损
Simply Wall St ·  01/25 20:50

One simple way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. But in any given year a good portion of stocks will fall short of that. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Dongxing Securities Corporation Limited (SHSE:601198) shareholders, since the share price is down 30% in the last three years, less than the market decline of around 26%.

从市场上涨中获益的一种简单方法是购买指数基金。但是在任何一年中,很大一部分股票都将低于这个水平。不幸的是,东兴证券股份有限公司(SHSE: 601198)的长期股东就是这种情况,因为股价在过去三年中下跌了30%,低于26%左右的市场跌幅。

While the stock has risen 3.2% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

尽管该股在过去一周上涨了3.2%,但长期股东仍处于亏损状态,但让我们看看基本面能告诉我们什么。

See our latest analysis for Dongxing Securities

查看我们对东兴证券的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the three years that the share price fell, Dongxing Securities' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 35% each year. In comparison the 11% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 58.42.

在股价下跌的三年中,东兴证券的每股收益(EPS)每年下降35%。相比之下,11%的复合年股价下跌幅度没有每股收益的下降那么严重。因此,目前市场可能不太担心每股收益的数字,或者此前可能已经将部分下跌定价了。这种积极情绪也反映在58.42的慷慨市盈率上。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601198 Earnings Per Share Growth January 26th 2024
上海证券交易所:601198 每股收益增长 2024 年 1 月 26 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Dongxing Securities' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得一看我们关于东兴证券收益、收入和现金流的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Dongxing Securities the TSR over the last 3 years was -26%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。我们注意到,东兴证券过去3年的股东总回报率为-26%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Dongxing Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 6.4% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 20%. Given the total loss of 1.9% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Dongxing Securities (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但东兴证券的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的6.4%的亏损没有20%左右的市场亏损那么严重。鉴于五年来每年的总损失为1.9%,在过去的十二个月中,回报率似乎有所下降。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该了解我们在东兴证券发现的4个警告信号(包括一个不太适合我们的信号)。

Of course Dongxing Securities may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,东兴证券可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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