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Guoyuan Securities (SZSE:000728) Shareholders Have Endured a 10% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago

Guoyuan Securities (SZSE:000728) Shareholders Have Endured a 10% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago

国元证券(深圳证券交易所代码:000728)股东因三年前投资该股而遭受了10%的损失
Simply Wall St ·  01/25 20:30

It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But it can difficult to make money in a declining market. The Guoyuan Securities Company Limited (SZSE:000728) is down 17% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -10% once you include the dividend. That's better than the market which declined 26% over the last three years.

当股票表现不如预期时,肯定会令人沮丧。但是在下跌的市场中可能很难赚钱。国元证券有限公司(深交所股票代码:000728)在三年内下跌了17%,但如果将股息计算在内,股东总回报率为-10%。这比过去三年下跌26%的市场要好。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们来看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

View our latest analysis for Guoyuan Securities

查看我们对国元证券的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Guoyuan Securities actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 3.1% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在不幸的三年股价下跌中,国元证券的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年增长3.1%。这真是个难题,表明可能会有一些东西暂时提振股价。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。

After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

在考虑了这些数字之后,我们假设三年前市场对每股收益增长的预期更高。但看看其他指标可能会有所启发。

Revenue is actually up 12% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Guoyuan Securities further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

在过去的三年中,收入实际上增长了12%,因此股价下跌似乎也不取决于收入。可能值得进一步调查国元证券;虽然我们在分析中可能遗漏了一些东西,但也可能有机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000728 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 26th 2024
SZSE: 000728 2024年1月26日收益和收入增长

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Guoyuan Securities' TSR for the last 3 years was -10%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。碰巧的是,国元证券过去3年的股东总回报率为-10%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Guoyuan Securities shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 5.2% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 20%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 3% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guoyuan Securities better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guoyuan Securities (1 is significant) that you should be aware of.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但国元证券的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的5.2%的亏损没有20%左右的市场亏损那么严重。当然,长期回报要重要得多,好消息是,在过去的五年中,该股每年的回报率为3%。在最好的情况下,去年只是通往更光明未来之旅中的一个暂时阶段。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解国元证券,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定了国元证券的两个警告信号(其中一个很重要),你应该注意这些信号。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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