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Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:605358) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:605358) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

杭州莱恩电子有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:605358)使用债务可能被视为有风险
Simply Wall St ·  01/24 22:43

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Hangzhou Lion Electronics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:605358) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到杭州莱恩电子有限公司, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:605358)确实在其业务中使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。归根结底,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东才能控制债务。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地很好地管理债务,而且有利于自己的利益。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

View our latest analysis for Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd

查看我们对杭州莱恩电子有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd Carry?

杭州莱恩电子有限公司背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd had debt of CN¥5.74b, up from CN¥2.61b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.68b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥3.07b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年9月,杭州莱恩电子有限公司的债务为57.4亿元人民币,高于一年内的26.1亿元人民币。但是,由于其现金储备为26.8亿元人民币,其净负债较少,约为30.7亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:605358 Debt to Equity History January 25th 2024
SHSE: 605358 2024 年 1 月 25 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's Balance Sheet?

杭州莱恩电子有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.59b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.68b in cash and CN¥1.65b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,杭州莱恩电子有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为20.4亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为65.9亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有26.8亿加元的现金和16.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总额高出43.1亿元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥16.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为杭州莱恩电子有限公司的市值为160亿元人民币,因此如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

While Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's EBIT was down 83% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

尽管杭州莱恩电子有限公司的债务与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率(3.9)表明它使用了部分债务,但其利息保障非常薄弱,为2.4,这表明杠杆率很高。看来该企业会产生巨额折旧和摊销费用,因此其债务负担可能比最初出现的要重,因为息税折旧摊销前利润可以说是衡量收益的丰厚指标。因此,股东可能应该意识到,最近利息支出似乎确实影响了业务。更糟糕的是,杭州莱恩电子有限公司的息税前利润比去年下降了83%。如果收益长期保持这样的水平,那么偿还债务的可能性很小。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定杭州莱恩电子有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,杭州莱恩电子有限公司的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

坦率地说,杭州莱恩电子有限公司将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,以及其(不)增长息税前利润的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。话虽如此,它处理总负债的能力并不令人担忧。我们很清楚,由于其资产负债表状况良好,我们认为杭州莱恩电子有限公司的风险确实相当大。因此,我们对这只鱼的警惕几乎就像一只饥饿的小猫要掉进主人的鱼池一样警惕:正如他们所说,一旦被咬伤,两次害羞。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经确定了杭州莱恩电子有限公司的3个警告标志(其中一个有点令人担忧),你应该注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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