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At HK$9.15, Is It Time To Put Great Wall Motor Company Limited (HKG:2333) On Your Watch List?

At HK$9.15, Is It Time To Put Great Wall Motor Company Limited (HKG:2333) On Your Watch List?

价格为9.15港元,是时候将长城汽车有限公司(HKG: 2333)列入您的观察清单了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/19 18:09

Let's talk about the popular Great Wall Motor Company Limited (HKG:2333). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$12.00 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$8.97. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Great Wall Motor's current trading price of HK$9.15 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Great Wall Motor's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

让我们来谈谈广受欢迎的长城汽车有限公司(HKG: 2333)。在过去的几个月中,该公司的股票因香港交易所的价格大幅波动而受到广泛关注,一度上涨至12.00港元,跌至8.97港元的低点。一些股价走势可以为投资者提供更好的入股机会,并有可能以较低的价格买入。需要回答的问题是,长城汽车目前的9.15港元交易价格是否反映了大盘股的实际价值?还是它目前的估值被低估了,为我们提供了买入的机会?让我们根据最新的财务数据来看看长城汽车的前景和价值,看看是否有任何价格变动的催化剂。

Check out our latest analysis for Great Wall Motor

查看我们对长城汽车的最新分析

What Is Great Wall Motor Worth?

长城汽车值多少钱?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that Great Wall Motor's ratio of 13.8x is trading slightly above its industry peers' ratio of 13.61x, which means if you buy Great Wall Motor today, you'd be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe Great Wall Motor should be trading in this range, then there isn't really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Great Wall Motor's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

根据我们的多重定价模型,我们将公司的市盈率与行业平均水平进行比较,目前的股价似乎是明智的。在这种情况下,鉴于没有足够的信息来可靠地预测股票的现金流,我们使用了市盈率(PE)。我们发现,长城汽车13.8倍的交易比率略高于其行业同行13.61倍的比率,这意味着如果你今天收购长城汽车,你将为此付出相对合理的代价。而且,如果你认为长城汽车应该在这个区间内交易,那么从长远来看,股价实际上没有任何超出其他行业同行的上涨空间。但是,将来可能会有机会购买。这是因为长城汽车的贝塔值(衡量股价波动的指标)很高,这意味着其价格相对于其他市场的价格走势将被夸大。如果市场看跌,该公司的股票下跌幅度可能会超过其他市场,这提供了绝佳的买入机会。

What kind of growth will Great Wall Motor generate?

长城汽车将带来什么样的增长?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:2333 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 19th 2024
SEHK: 2333 2024年1月19日收益及收入增长

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Great Wall Motor. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能需要在购买公司股票之前考虑公司的前景。尽管价值投资者会争辩说,最重要的是相对于价格的内在价值,但更有说服力的投资论点是以低廉的价格获得高增长潜力。预计未来几年利润将增加一倍以上,长城汽车的前景似乎一片光明。看来该股的现金流即将增加,这应该会促进更高的股票估值。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 2333's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 2333? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

你是股东吗?看来市场已经对2333的乐观前景进行了定价,股票的交易价格约为行业价格倍数。但是,我们今天还没有考虑其他重要因素,例如其管理团队的往绩。自从你上次查看2333以来,这些因素是否发生了变化?如果价格波动低于行业市盈率,您是否有足够的信心买入?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 2333, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for 2333, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

你是潜在的投资者吗?如果你一直在关注2333,那么现在可能不是最有利的买入时机,因为它的交易价格约为行业价格倍数。但是,对2333的乐观预测令人鼓舞,这意味着值得深入研究其他因素,例如资产负债表的强度,以利用下一次价格下跌的机会。

If you want to dive deeper into Great Wall Motor, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Great Wall Motor is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is significant...

如果你想更深入地了解长城汽车,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。请注意,长城汽车在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,其中一个信号意义重大...

If you are no longer interested in Great Wall Motor, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再对长城汽车感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们列出的其他50多只具有高增长潜力的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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