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Digital China Holdings (HKG:861) Sheds HK$418m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years

Digital China Holdings (HKG:861) Sheds HK$418m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Three Years

神州数码控股(HKG: 861)下跌4.18亿港元,过去三年公司收益和投资者回报率一直呈下降趋势
Simply Wall St ·  01/08 20:13

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Digital China Holdings Limited (HKG:861) shareholders. Sadly for them, the share price is down 66% in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 48% lower in that time. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 11%.

如果你正在建立一个适当多元化的股票投资组合,那么你的某些选择很可能会表现不佳。但是,对于神州数码控股有限公司(HKG: 861)的长期股东来说,过去三年尤其艰难。对他们来说,可悲的是,当时股价下跌了66%。而且在过去的一年里,行程并没有变得更加顺利,同期价格下降了48%。上周股价继续下跌,下跌了约11%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东的处境艰难,让我们研究一下基本面,看看能学到什么。

View our latest analysis for Digital China Holdings

查看我们对神州数码控股的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是能合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法如何变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价变动进行比较。

During the three years that the share price fell, Digital China Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 32% each year. So do you think it's a coincidence that the share price has dropped 30% per year, a very similar rate to the EPS? We don't. So it seems that investor expectations of the company are staying pretty steady, despite the disappointment. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.

在股价下跌的三年中,神州数码控股的每股收益(EPS)每年下降32%。那么,你认为股价每年下跌30%,与每股收益非常相似是巧合吗?我们没有。因此,尽管令人失望,但投资者对该公司的预期似乎保持稳定。在这种情况下,每股收益似乎在指导股价。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多的细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:861 Earnings Per Share Growth January 9th 2024
SEHK: 861 每股收益增长 2024 年 1 月 9 日

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. This free interactive report on Digital China Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

很高兴看到在过去三个月中出现了一些大规模的内幕买盘。这是积极的。话虽如此,我们认为收益和收入增长趋势是更重要的考虑因素。如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于神州数码控股收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Digital China Holdings, it has a TSR of -63% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。就神州数码控股而言,其过去三年的股东总回报率为-63%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, Digital China Holdings shareholders did even worse, losing 47% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Digital China Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Digital China Holdings that you should be aware of.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约13%,但神州控股股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了47%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。遗憾的是,去年的业绩结束了糟糕的表现,股东在五年内每年面临6%的总亏损。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解神州数码控股,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定了神州数码控股的两个警告信号,你应该注意这些信号。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

还有很多其他公司有内部人士购买股票。你可能不想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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