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Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Shenzhen Guangju Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000096) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

深圳广聚能源有限公司s (SZSE: 000096) 股价飙升但财务状况似乎前后矛盾:上涨趋势会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 22:33

Shenzhen Guangju Energy's (SZSE:000096) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE.

深圳广聚能源(深圳证券交易所:000096)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了35%。但是,我们想知道该公司财务状况不稳定是否会对当前的股价势头产生任何不利影响。在本文中,我们决定重点关注深圳广聚能源的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东要考虑的重要因素,因为它告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Guangju Energy

查看我们对深圳广聚能源的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Guangju Energy is:

因此,根据上述公式,深圳广聚能源的投资回报率为:

2.2% = CN¥58m ÷ CN¥2.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

2.2% = 5800万元人民币 ÷ 27亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。将其概念化的一种方法是,每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,公司的利润为0.02元人民币。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效利润指标。我们现在需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,这样我们就可以了解公司的增长潜力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润保留率高的公司比不具备这些属性的公司的增长率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhen Guangju Energy's Earnings Growth And 2.2% ROE

深圳光聚能源的收益增长和2.2%的投资回报率的并排比较

It is hard to argue that Shenzhen Guangju Energy's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 12%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 16% seen by Shenzhen Guangju Energy was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很难说深圳广聚能源的投资回报率本身就非常好。即使与12%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率也相当惨淡。因此,说深圳广聚能源五年净收入下降16%可能是其投资回报率下降的结果,这可能没有错。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如-收益保留率低或资本配置不佳。

However, when we compared Shenzhen Guangju Energy's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 26% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将深圳广聚能源的增长与行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但同期该行业的收益增长了26%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000096 Past Earnings Growth January 3rd 2024
SZSE: 000096 过去的收益增长 2024 年 1 月 3 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shenzhen Guangju Energy fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。与其他公司相比,深圳光聚能源的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Shenzhen Guangju Energy Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

深圳广聚能源是否在高效地将利润再投资?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%) which is pretty normal, Shenzhen Guangju Energy's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

纵观其三年派息率中位数为29%(或71%的留存率),这是很正常的,深圳光聚能源的收益下降相当令人困惑,因为当一家公司保留很大一部分利润时,人们预计会出现相当大的增长。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

In addition, Shenzhen Guangju Energy has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,深圳广聚能源在至少十年内一直在派发股息,这表明即使以业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shenzhen Guangju Energy's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Shenzhen Guangju Energy by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们对深圳广聚能源的表现有点矛盾。尽管该公司的利润保留率确实很高,但其低回报率可能会阻碍其收益增长。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以访问我们的 1 种风险来查看我们为深圳广聚能源确定的 1 种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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