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Is Mercury Systems (NASDAQ:MRCY) A Risky Investment?

Is Mercury Systems (NASDAQ:MRCY) A Risky Investment?

水星系统(纳斯达克股票代码:MRCY)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/13 12:50

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRCY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,水星系统公司(纳斯达克股票代码:MRCY)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么债务就会任由他们摆布。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司会永久稀释股东,因为贷款机构迫使他们以不利的价格筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地很好地管理债务,而且有利于自己的利益。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是综合考虑其现金和债务。

Check out our latest analysis for Mercury Systems

查看我们对 Mercury Systems 的最新分析

What Is Mercury Systems's Net Debt?

水星系统的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Mercury Systems had US$578.0m of debt, an increase on US$511.5m, over one year. However, it does have US$89.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$488.7m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,水星系统在一年内有5.78亿美元的债务,比5.115亿美元增加了5.115亿美元。但是,它确实有8,940万美元的现金抵消了这一点,导致净负债约为4.887亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:MRCY Debt to Equity History December 13th 2023
纳斯达克证券交易所:MRCY 债转股历史记录 2023 年 12 月 13 日

A Look At Mercury Systems' Liabilities

看看水星系统的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mercury Systems had liabilities of US$205.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$654.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$89.4m in cash and US$480.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$290.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,水星系统的负债为2.053亿美元,12个月后到期的负债为6.546亿美元。抵消这一点的是,它有8,940万美元的现金和4.80亿美元的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出2.906亿美元。

Of course, Mercury Systems has a market capitalization of US$2.25b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mercury Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

当然,水星系统的市值为22.5亿美元,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。话虽如此,很明显,我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况变得更糟。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定水星系统能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Over 12 months, Mercury Systems made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$927m, which is a fall of 6.4%. We would much prefer see growth.

在过去的12个月中,Mercury Systems在息税前利润水平上出现亏损,收入下降至9.27亿美元,下降6.4%。我们更希望看到增长。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Mercury Systems produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$33m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$34m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Mercury Systems , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

在过去的十二个月中,水星系统产生了利息和税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,它在息税前利润水平上损失了3,300万美元。考虑到除了上述负债外,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大信心。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表远非匹配,尽管随着时间的推移可能会有所改善。但是,它在去年消耗了3400万美元的现金,这无济于事。因此,坦率地说,我们认为这是有风险的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。我们已经发现了 Mercury Systems 的 1 个警告信号,了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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