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Is Graco (NYSE:GGG) A Risky Investment?

Is Graco (NYSE:GGG) A Risky Investment?

固瑞克(纽约证券交易所代码:GGG)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/13 07:15

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Graco Inc. (NYSE:GGG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他说:“我担心的是永久亏损的可能性... 我认识的每位务实投资者都很担心,而不是担心股价的波动。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的货币似乎知道债务——通常与破产有关——是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,固瑞克公司(纽约证券交易所代码:GGG)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东才能控制债务。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

Check out our latest analysis for Graco

查看我们对固瑞克的最新分析

What Is Graco's Debt?

固瑞克的债务是什么?

As you can see below, Graco had US$29.0m of debt at September 2023, down from US$117.7m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$525.8m in cash, so it actually has US$496.7m net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,固瑞克的债务为2900万美元,低于去年同期的1.177亿美元。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有5.258亿美元的现金,因此实际净现金为4.967亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GGG Debt to Equity History December 13th 2023
纽约证券交易所:GGG 债转股历史记录 2023 年 12 月 13 日

How Strong Is Graco's Balance Sheet?

固瑞克的资产负债表有多强劲?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Graco had liabilities of US$395.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$90.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$525.8m as well as receivables valued at US$352.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast US$391.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,固瑞克在12个月内到期的负债为3.959亿美元,12个月后到期的负债为9,050万美元。为了抵消这些债务,它有5.258亿美元的现金以及价值3.525亿美元的应收账款,将在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产可以比之高出3.919亿美元 负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Graco could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Graco boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种短期流动性表明,固瑞克可能可以轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。简而言之,固瑞克拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

Also good is that Graco grew its EBIT at 12% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Graco's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同样好的是,固瑞克的息税前利润比去年增长了12%,进一步提高了其管理债务的能力。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益,比什么都重要,将决定固瑞克未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你专注于未来,你可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Graco has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Graco produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法削减债务。尽管固瑞克的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去三年中,固瑞克创造了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前收益的56%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司能够在适当的时候偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Graco has net cash of US$496.7m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it also grew its EBIT by 12% over the last year. So is Graco's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Graco's earnings per share history for free.

尽管我们同情那些认为债务相关的投资者,但您应该记住,固瑞克的净现金为4.967亿美元,流动资产也多于负债。而且它的息税前利润也比去年增长了12%。那么固瑞克的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。在大多数其他指标之上,我们认为重要的是要追踪每股收益的增长速度(如果有的话)。如果你也意识到了这一点,那你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看这张显示固瑞克每股收益历史的交互式图表。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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