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Bojun Education's (HKG:1758) Earnings Aren't As Good As They Appear

Bojun Education's (HKG:1758) Earnings Aren't As Good As They Appear

博君教育(HKG: 1758)的收益并不像看起来那么好
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/07 17:22

Even though Bojun Education Company Limited (HKG:1758) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large way. We looked deeper into the numbers and found that shareholders might be concerned with some underlying weaknesses.

尽管博君教育有限公司(HKG: 1758)最近公布了强劲的收益,但该股并没有做出太大的反应。我们更深入地研究了这些数字,发现股东可能会担心一些潜在的弱点。

Check out our latest analysis for Bojun Education

查看我们对博俊教育的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1758 Earnings and Revenue History December 7th 2023
香港交易所:1758 收益和收入记录 2023 年 12 月 7 日

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Bojun Education increased the number of shares on issue by 9.9% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Bojun Education's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

要了解公司收益增长的价值,必须考虑股东利益的任何稀释。实际上,在过去的十二个月中,博君教育通过发行新股将已发行的股票数量增加了9.9%。因此,其净收入现在被分配给更多的股票。在忽视稀释的情况下庆祝净收入就像欢欣鼓舞,因为你有一片更大的披萨,但却忽略了披萨现在被切成更多片的事实。点击此链接,查看Bojun Education的历史每股收益增长。

How Is Dilution Impacting Bojun Education's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀释如何影响博君教育的每股收益(EPS)?

Bojun Education was losing money three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

博君教育三年前就亏损了。而且,即使只关注过去的十二个月,我们也没有一个有意义的增长率,因为它在一年前也出现了亏损。我们所知道的是,尽管在过去十二个月中看到盈利是件好事,但如果公司不需要发行股票,按每股计算,利润本来会更好。因此,稀释对股东回报产生了显著的影响。

In the long term, if Bojun Education's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

从长远来看,如果博君教育的收益 每股 可以上涨,那么股价也应该上涨。但另一方面,得知利润(但不是每股收益)正在改善,我们就不那么兴奋了。出于这个原因,假设目标是评估公司的股价是否可能上涨,你可以说从长远来看,每股收益比净收入更为重要。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Bojun Education.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对博俊教育的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Bojun Education's net profit by CN¥86m over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Bojun Education had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to August 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

最后,我们还应该考虑这样一个事实,即不寻常的项目使博俊教育的净利润比去年增加了8600万元人民币。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常使我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。这是你所期望的,因为这些提升被描述为 “不寻常”。截至2023年8月,与利润相比,博君教育从不寻常的项目中做出了相当可观的贡献。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润无法很好地指导潜在的盈利能力。

Our Take On Bojun Education's Profit Performance

我们对博君教育盈利表现的看法

In its last report Bojun Education benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Bojun Education's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, Bojun Education has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

在上一份报告中,Bojun Education受益于不寻常的项目,这些项目提高了利润,在可持续的基础上,这可能会使利润看起来好于实际水平。此外,它还发行了大量新股,确保了每位股东(他们没有投入更多资金)现在拥有公司的较小比例。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼Bojun Education的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。例如,Bojun Education有5个警告标志(还有2个令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在本文中,我们研究了许多可能削弱利润数字效用的因素,我们对此持谨慎态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以告知你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率表明商业经济状况良好,而另一些人则喜欢 “追随资金”,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。尽管可能需要代表你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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