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Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings (HKG:360) A Risky Investment?

Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings (HKG:360) A Risky Investment?

新焦点汽车科技控股公司(HKG: 360)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/17 17:19

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings Limited (HKG:360) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李璐对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,聪明的货币似乎知道债务——通常与破产有关——是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到,新焦点汽车技术控股有限公司(HKG: 360)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。归根结底,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然很痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

View our latest analysis for New Focus Auto Tech Holdings

查看我们对新焦点汽车科技控股的最新分析

How Much Debt Does New Focus Auto Tech Holdings Carry?

新福克斯汽车科技控股公司负有多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings had CN¥272.5m of debt in June 2023, down from CN¥381.7m, one year before. But it also has CN¥1.10b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥823.7m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示新焦点汽车科技控股在2023年6月的债务为2.725亿元人民币,低于一年前的3.817亿元人民币。但它也有11.0亿元人民币的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它有8.237亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:360 Debt to Equity History November 17th 2023
香港交易所:360 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 17 日

How Healthy Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings' Balance Sheet?

新福克斯汽车科技控股的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings had liabilities of CN¥701.5m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥42.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.10b as well as receivables valued at CN¥94.4m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥447.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,新焦点汽车技术控股公司在一年内到期的负债为7.015亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为4,210万元人民币。为了抵消这些债务,它有11.0亿元人民币的现金以及价值9,440万元人民币的应收账款,将在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产可以比之多4.471亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that New Focus Auto Tech Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

这种盈余表明,新福克斯汽车科技控股的资产负债表比较保守,很可能可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,New Focus Auto Tech Holdings的现金多于债务这一事实可以说很好地表明它可以安全地管理债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表表现的是新福克斯汽车科技控股公司的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。

In the last year New Focus Auto Tech Holdings's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

去年,新福克斯汽车科技控股公司的收入相当持平,息税前利润为负。虽然这还不错,但我们更希望看到增长。

So How Risky Is New Focus Auto Tech Holdings?

那么,新焦点汽车科技控股的风险有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year New Focus Auto Tech Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥42m and booked a CN¥36m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of CN¥823.7m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with New Focus Auto Tech Holdings .

从统计学上讲,亏损的公司比赚钱的公司风险更大。说实话,去年新福克斯汽车科技控股公司出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。同期,它的自由现金流出为负4200万元人民币,会计亏损为3,600万元人民币。鉴于该公司只有8.237亿元人民币的净现金,如果不能很快达到收支平衡,则可能需要筹集更多资金。尽管其资产负债表似乎具有足够的流动性,但如果一家公司不定期产生自由现金流,债务总是会让我们有些紧张。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。为此,你应该注意我们在New Focus Auto Tech Holdings发现的两个警告信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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