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Is Prada (HKG:1913) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Prada (HKG:1913) Using Too Much Debt?

普拉达(HKG: 1913)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/13 17:05

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Prada S.p.A. (HKG:1913) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李璐对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务超负荷可能导致破产。重要的是,Prada S.p.A.(HKG:1913)确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

See our latest analysis for Prada

查看我们对普拉达的最新分析

What Is Prada's Debt?

普拉达的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Prada had €486.7m of debt in June 2023, down from €608.0m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has €766.3m in cash, leading to a €279.5m net cash position.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示普拉达在2023年6月的债务为4.867亿欧元,低于一年前的6.080亿欧元。但另一方面,它也有7.663亿欧元的现金,净现金状况为2.795亿欧元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1913 Debt to Equity History November 13th 2023
香港交易所:1913 债权与股权历史记录 2023 年 11 月 13 日

How Healthy Is Prada's Balance Sheet?

普拉达的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Prada had liabilities of €1.33b due within 12 months and liabilities of €2.37b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €766.3m and €399.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €2.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

纵观最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,普拉达在12个月内到期的负债为13.3亿欧元,此后到期的负债为23.7亿欧元。另一方面,它在一年内有7.663亿欧元的现金和价值3.996亿欧元的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出25.4亿欧元。

Of course, Prada has a titanic market capitalization of €13.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Prada boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

当然,普拉达的市值高达138亿欧元,因此这些负债可能是可以控制的。但是,有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东今后继续监控资产负债表。尽管负债可观,但普拉达拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Prada has boosted its EBIT by 53%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Prada's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

除此之外,我们很高兴地向大家报告,Prada已将其息税前收益提高了53%,从而减少了未来偿还债务的阴影。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,未来的收益,比什么都重要,将决定普拉达未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Prada may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Prada actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但是我们的最终考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。普拉达的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在过去的三年中,普拉达产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。在保持贷款人的信任方面,没有什么比现金流入更好的了。

Summing Up

总结

While Prada does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €279.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €840m, being 123% of its EBIT. So is Prada's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Prada, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

尽管普拉达的负债确实多于流动资产,但其净现金也为2.795亿欧元。它以8.4亿欧元的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的123%。那么普拉达的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此,如果你对普拉达感兴趣,不妨点击此处查看其每股收益历史的交互式图表。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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