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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Galaxy Securities (HKG:6881) the Stock Ascends 7.5%, Bringing One-year Gains to 38%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China Galaxy Securities (HKG:6881) the Stock Ascends 7.5%, Bringing One-year Gains to 38%

尽管中国银河证券(HKG: 6881)的收益呈下降趋势,但该股仍上涨7.5%,使一年的涨幅达到38%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/06 23:11

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd. (HKG:6881) share price is 30% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 4.9% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! Zooming out, the stock is actually down 10% in the last three years.

投资股票的最简单方法是购买交易所交易基金。但是,投资者可以通过选择市场领先的公司来持有股票来提高回报。换句话说,中国银河证券股份有限公司(HKG:6881)的股价比去年同期高出30%,远好于同期约4.9%(不包括股息)的市场回报率。按照我们的标准,这是一项不错的表现!缩小来看,股票实际上是 向下 在过去三年中为10%。

Since it's been a strong week for China Galaxy Securities shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于这是中国银河证券股东表现强劲的一周,让我们来看看长期基本面的走势。

View our latest analysis for China Galaxy Securities

查看我们对中国银河证券的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者 沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价如何并不总是合理地反映企业的价值。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Over the last twelve months, China Galaxy Securities actually shrank its EPS by 18%.

在过去的十二个月中,中国银河证券的每股收益实际上萎缩了18%。

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.

鉴于股价的上涨,我们怀疑市场是否在衡量每股收益的进展。事实上,当每股收益下降但股价上涨时,这通常意味着市场正在考虑其他因素。

Absent any improvement, we don't think a thirst for dividends is pushing up the China Galaxy Securities' share price. It saw it's revenue decline by 15% over twelve months. Usually that correlates with a lower share price, but let's face it, the gyrations of the market are sometimes only as clear as mud.

在没有任何改善的情况下,我们认为对分红的渴望并不会推高中国银河证券的股价。它的收入在十二个月内下降了15%。通常这与股价下跌有关,但让我们面对现实吧,市场的波动有时只能像泥巴一样明显。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:6881 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 7th 2023
香港交易所:6881 收益和收入增长 2023年11月7日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本状况相似的公司的大多数首席执行官更适中。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Galaxy Securities' TSR for the last 1 year was 38%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息已被再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率可以更全面地描述股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,中国银河证券过去一年的股东总回报率为38%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息促进了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that China Galaxy Securities shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 38% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for China Galaxy Securities (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

很高兴看到中国银河证券股东在去年获得了38%的股东总回报率。当然,这包括分红。由于一年期股东总回报率好于五年期股东总回报(后者为每年7%),该股的表现似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的商业势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了中国银河证券的 3 个警告信号(1 个不容忽视!)在这里投资之前,你应该意识到这一点。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司名单。(提示:业内人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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