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Kantone Holdings' (HKG:1059) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Kantone Holdings' (HKG:1059) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Kantone Holdings(HKG: 1059)的收益可能比你想象的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/03 18:03

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Kantone Holdings Limited's (HKG:1059) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.

尽管利润数字良好,但股东们似乎对凯通控股有限公司(HKG:1059)最近的收益报告并不感到兴奋。我们的分析发现了一些削弱利润基础的令人担忧的因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Kantone Holdings

查看我们对坎通控股的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1059 Earnings and Revenue History November 3rd 2023
香港交易所:1059 收益和收入记录 2023 年 11 月 3 日

Zooming In On Kantone Holdings' Earnings

放大凯通控股的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减弱。

Over the twelve months to June 2023, Kantone Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.69. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of HK$5.9m despite its profit of HK$9.69m, mentioned above. We also note that Kantone Holdings' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of HK$5.9m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年6月的十二个月中,凯通控股的应计比率为0.69。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,如上所述,尽管其利润为969万港元,但仍流出590万港元。我们还注意到,去年Kantone Holdings的自由现金流实际上也是负数,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其590万港元的流出所困扰。话虽如此,这个故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kantone Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Kantone Holdings的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Kantone Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$12m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Kantone Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

考虑到应计比率,在过去十二个月中,价值1200万港元的不寻常物品提振了Kantone Holdings的利润也就不足为奇了。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,在自然界中,一次性出现不寻常物品的情况很常见。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。我们可以看到,在截至2023年6月的一年中,Kantone Holdings的正向异常项目相对于其利润相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润无法很好地指导潜在的盈利能力。

Our Take On Kantone Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对Kantone Holdings盈利表现的看法

Kantone Holdings had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Kantone Holdings'underlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Kantone Holdings (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

Kantone Holdings的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受到不寻常物品的提振。经过反思,上述因素给我们留下了深刻的印象,即根据法定利润数字,Kantone Holdings的基础盈利能力并不像看起来那样好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。为此,你应该了解我们在Kantone Holdings发现的两个警告信号(包括一个对我们来说不太合适)。

Our examination of Kantone Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对Kantone Holdings的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来比现在更好的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以告知你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是高质量业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这批拥有高股本回报率的免费公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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