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2.1% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for CITIC (HKG:267) Shareholders Over That Period

2.1% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for CITIC (HKG:267) Shareholders Over That Period

中信(HKG: 267)股东在5年内实现2.1%的收益增长并未转化为同期的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/22 20:51

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in CITIC Limited (HKG:267), since the last five years saw the share price fall 42%. Furthermore, it's down 18% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 8.3% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

理想情况下,你的整体投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但几乎可以肯定的是,每个投资者都会同时拥有表现优异和表现不佳的股票。在这一点上,一些股东可能会质疑他们在中信股份(HKG:267),自过去五年股价下跌42%以来。此外,它在大约四分之一的时间里下跌了18%。对于持有者来说,这并不是什么乐趣。当然,在此期间,这一股价走势很可能受到了大盘8.3%跌幅的影响。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东的态度一直很严峻,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

View our latest analysis for CITIC

查看我们对中信股份的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, CITIC actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 11% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

不幸的是,在股价下滑的五年里,中信股份的每股收益(EPS)实际上以每年11%的速度增长。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。也有可能,此前市场非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股仍令人失望。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长和股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,因此有必要看看其他指标,试图了解股价走势。

The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前还不清楚为什么股价会下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:267 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 23rd 2023
联交所:267盈利及收入增长2023年10月23日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think CITIC will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。但是,尽管CEO的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是,公司能否在未来实现收益增长。因此,看看分析师认为中信股份未来的收入(免费利润预测)很有意义。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for CITIC the TSR over the last 5 years was -21%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。我们注意到,中信股份在过去5年的总回报率为-21%,好于上述股价回报率。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 8.5% in the last year, CITIC shareholders lost 3.1% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 4% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CITIC better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for CITIC you should be aware of.

尽管大盘去年上涨了约8.5%,但中信股份的股东损失了3.1%(甚至包括股息)。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,在12个月的时间里,有时也会表现逊于市场。不幸的是,考虑到过去五年4%的损失,长期股东的损失更大。我们需要在关键指标上看到一些持续的改善,然后我们才能调动起太多的热情。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地理解中信股份,我们还需要考虑许多其他因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了中信股份的1个警示标志你应该意识到。

We will like CITIC better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大的内部收购,我们会更喜欢中信股份。在我们等待的时候,看看这个免费最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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