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Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300301) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 35%

Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300301) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 35%

深圳长方集团有限公司's(深交所股票代码:300301)价格合理,但在股价飙升35%之后增长乏力
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/18 18:15

The Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300301) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.

这个深圳市长方集团有限公司。(SZSE:300301)过去一个月股价表现非常好,录得35%的出色涨幅。从更广泛的角度来看,尽管没有上个月那么强劲,但全年15%的涨幅也是相当合理的。

Even after such a large jump in price, Shenzhen Changfang Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 8x and even P/S higher than 15x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

即使在价格如此大幅上涨之后,深圳长方集团目前仍可能发出非常看涨的信号,其市售比(P/S)为2.8倍,因为在中国半导体行业,几乎一半公司的P/S比率高于8倍,即使P/S高于15倍也并不罕见。然而,仅仅从表面上看待P/S是不明智的,因为可能会有一个解释为什么它如此有限。

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Changfang Group

查看我们对深圳长方集团的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300301 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2023
深圳证券交易所:300301 2023年10月18日市销率

How Shenzhen Changfang Group Has Been Performing

深圳长方集团是如何表现的

For instance, Shenzhen Changfang Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Shenzhen Changfang Group will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

例如,深圳长方集团近期营收下滑的情况一定值得深思。或许市场认为最近的营收表现不足以跟上行业的步伐,导致市盈率与S比率受到影响。那些看好深圳长方集团的人会希望情况并非如此,这样他们才能以较低的估值买入该股。

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our
我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以通过查看我们的
free
免费
report on Shenzhen Changfang Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
深圳长方集团的收益、收入和现金流报告。

How Is Shenzhen Changfang Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

深圳长方集团营收增长趋势如何?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Shenzhen Changfang Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

只有当深圳长方集团的增长明显落后于行业的时候,你才会真正放心地看到市盈率/S像深圳长方集团这样低迷。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 57% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 54% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

回顾过去一年,该公司的营收令人沮丧地下降了57%。这意味着它的长期营收也出现了下滑,因为过去三年的总营收下降了54%。因此,公平地说,最近的收入增长对公司来说是不可取的。

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 39% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

与该公司形成鲜明对比的是,该行业其他业务预计明年将增长39%,这确实让人对该公司最近的中期收入下降有了正确的认识。

In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen Changfang Group's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

有鉴于此,深圳长方集团的P/S会低于大多数其他公司也是可以理解的。尽管如此,不能保证P/S已经触底,营收出现了逆转。如果该公司不改善其营收增长,市盈率S有可能跌至更低的水平。

What Does Shenzhen Changfang Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

深圳长方集团的P/S对投资者意味着什么?

Even after such a strong price move, Shenzhen Changfang Group's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

即使在如此强劲的价格变动之后,深圳长方集团的市盈率S仍落后于行业其他公司。我们会说,市销率的力量主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是衡量当前投资者的情绪和未来预期。

As we suspected, our examination of Shenzhen Changfang Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

正如我们怀疑的那样,我们对深圳长方集团的调查显示,考虑到该行业将会增长,该集团中期营收萎缩是导致其市盈率较低的原因之一。在这个阶段,投资者认为营收改善的潜力还不够大,不足以证明提高市盈率和S比率是合理的。如果近期的中期营收趋势继续下去,在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来向任何一个方向强劲移动。

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Changfang Group (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

总是有必要考虑到投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经与深圳长方集团确认了3个警示标志(至少有两个让我们不舒服),理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Changfang Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你.不确定深圳长方集团的业务实力,为什么不探索我们的互动列表,为其他一些你可能没有达到预期的公司提供坚实的商业基本面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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