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It's Down 32% But Aspen (Group) Holdings Limited (SGX:1F3) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

It's Down 32% But Aspen (Group) Holdings Limited (SGX:1F3) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

下跌了32%,但阿斯彭(集团)控股有限公司(新加坡证券交易所股票代码:1F3)的风险可能比看起来更大
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/18 18:20

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Aspen (Group) Holdings Limited (SGX:1F3) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 62% share price decline.

不幸的是,对于一些股东来说, 阿斯彭(集团)控股有限公司 新加坡证券交易所股票代码:1F3)股价在过去三十天中下跌了32%,延续了最近的痛苦。对于任何长期股东来说,上个月的股价下跌了62%,从而结束了一年的忘记。

After such a large drop in price, Aspen (Group) Holdings may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in Singapore have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

在价格大幅下跌之后,阿斯彭(集团)控股公司目前可能正在发出看涨信号,其市盈率(或 “市盈率”)为0.3倍,因为新加坡房地产行业中将近一半的公司市盈率高于1.7倍,甚至市盈率高于5倍也并不罕见。但是,仅按面值计算市盈率是不明智的,因为可能可以解释为什么市盈率有限。

See our latest analysis for Aspen (Group) Holdings

查看我们对阿斯彭(集团)控股公司的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SGX:1F3 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2023
新加坡证券交易所:1F3价格与行业的比率对比 2023年10月18日

What Does Aspen (Group) Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Aspen(集团)控股公司最近的表现如何?

The recent revenue growth at Aspen (Group) Holdings would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

阿斯彭(集团)控股公司最近的收入增长即使不是惊人的,也必须被认为是令人满意的。可能是许多人预计可观的收入表现会下降,这抑制了市盈率。如果这种情况最终没有发生,那么现有股东可能有理由对股价的未来走势持乐观态度。

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our
想全面了解公司的收益、收入和现金流吗?然后我们的
free
免费的
report on Aspen (Group) Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Aspen(集团)Holdings的报告将帮助您了解其历史表现。

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

收入预测是否与低市盈率相符?

Aspen (Group) Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

对于一家预计增长有限且重要的是表现低于该行业的公司来说,Aspen(Group)Holdings的市盈率将是典型的。

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 21% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

首先回顾一下,我们看到该公司去年成功地将收入增长了6.7%。在过去的三年中,总收入也增长了21%,这在一定程度上得益于其短期表现。因此,股东们可能会对中期收入增长率感到满意。

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 3.0% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

与该行业相比,该行业预计在未来12个月内仅实现3.0%的增长,根据最近的中期年化收入业绩,该公司的势头更加强劲。

With this information, we find it odd that Aspen (Group) Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

有了这些信息,我们觉得奇怪的是,Aspen(集团)Holdings的市盈率低于该行业。显然,一些股东认为最近的表现已经超过了极限,并且已经接受了大幅降低的销售价格。

What Does Aspen (Group) Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Aspen(集团)控股公司的市盈率对投资者意味着什么?

The southerly movements of Aspen (Group) Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Aspen(集团)Holdings的股票向南走势意味着其市盈率目前处于相当低的水平。仅使用市售比率来确定是否应该出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作为公司未来前景的实用指南。

Our examination of Aspen (Group) Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

我们对Aspen(集团)Holdings的调查显示,鉴于其三年收入趋势看起来好于当前的行业预期,其市盈率增长幅度并未达到我们预期的水平。当我们看到收入强劲,增长快于行业时,我们假设公司的盈利能力存在一些重大的潜在风险,这给市盈率带来了下行压力。看来许多人确实在预测收入不稳定,因为最近这些中期状况的持续存在通常会提振股价。

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Aspen (Group) Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

别忘了可能还有其他风险。例如,我们已经确定了 Aspen(集团)控股有4个警告信号 (1 有点不愉快)你应该注意。

If you're unsure about the strength of Aspen (Group) Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你是 不确定阿斯彭(集团)控股公司的业务实力,为什么不浏览我们的互动股票清单,为你可能错过的其他一些公司提供坚实的商业基本面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

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