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Here's Why China National Software & Service (SHSE:600536) Can Afford Some Debt

Here's Why China National Software & Service (SHSE:600536) Can Afford Some Debt

这就是为什么中国软件与服务公司(上海证券交易所代码:600536)可以负担一些债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 20:40

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that China National Software & Service Company Limited (SHSE:600536) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理Li·Lu曾说过,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。我们注意到中国国家软件服务有限公司(上交所:600536)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候债务是个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。最终,如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所有地离开。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for China National Software & Service

查看我们对中国国家软件和服务的最新分析

What Is China National Software & Service's Debt?

中国国家软件服务公司的债务是什么?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China National Software & Service had CN¥1.98b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥1.59b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥383.5m.

下面的图表,你可以点击查看更多详细信息,显示中国国家软件服务公司在2023年6月的债务为19.8亿元人民币,与前一年大致相同。然而,它确实有15.9亿加元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为3.835亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600536 Debt to Equity History October 12th 2023
上证综指:600536债转股历史2023年10月12日

A Look At China National Software & Service's Liabilities

看中国国家软件服务公司的负债情况

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China National Software & Service had liabilities of CN¥6.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥810.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.59b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.55b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.79b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

从最近的资产负债表中我们可以看到,中国国家软件服务公司有61.2亿元的负债在一年内到期,超过这一期限的负债有8.1亿元。作为对这些债务的抵销,该公司有15.9亿加元的现金以及价值35.5亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额为人民币17.9亿元,比现金和短期应收账款的总和还要多。

Since publicly traded China National Software & Service shares are worth a total of CN¥33.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, China National Software & Service has a very light debt load indeed. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China National Software & Service's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由于上市交易的中国软件服务股份总价值335亿元人民币,这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而变化。中国国家软件服务公司几乎没有净债务,债务负担确实非常轻。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但最重要的是,未来的收益将决定中国国家软件服务公司未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。

In the last year China National Software & Service had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 24%, to CN¥8.6b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,中国国家软件服务公司息税前亏损,实际营收缩水24%,至86亿加元。坦率地说,这不是一个好兆头。

Caveat Emptor

告诫买入者

While China National Software & Service's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥81m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥185m. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for China National Software & Service that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然中国软件服务公司不断下滑的营收令人心碎,但可以说,其息税前利润(EBIT)亏损就更没有吸引力了。事实上,在息税前利润水平上,它亏损了8100万加元。考虑到除了上面提到的债务,我们对公司应该使用如此多的债务没有太大的信心。因此,我们认为它的资产负债表有点紧张,但并不是无法修复。例如,我们不希望看到去年亏损1.85亿元的情况重演。因此,我们确实认为这只股票风险很大。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现中国国家软件与服务公司的1个警示标志在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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