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There's Reason For Concern Over Time Watch Investments Limited's (HKG:2033) Massive 34% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Time Watch Investments Limited's (HKG:2033) Massive 34% Price Jump

有理由担心 Time Watch Investments Limited(HKG: 2033)价格大幅上涨34%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 18:01

Time Watch Investments Limited (HKG:2033) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.9% isn't as impressive.

时计投资有限公司(HKG:2033)股价经历了令人印象深刻的一个月,在经历了一段不稳定的时期后上涨了34%。尽管最近有所上涨,但5.9%的年度股价回报率并不令人印象深刻。

Following the firm bounce in price, Time Watch Investments' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

随着股价的强劲反弹,Time Watch Investments 25倍的市盈率可能会让它现在看起来像是一个强劲的卖盘。在香港市场,大约一半的公司的市盈率低于9倍,甚至市盈率低于4倍的情况也很常见。然而,市盈率可能相当高是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定它是否合理。

Time Watch Investments has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Time Watch Investments最近一直做得很好,因为它的收益一直在稳步增长。一种可能性是,市盈率很高,因为投资者认为,这种可观的收益增长在不久的将来将足以跑赢大盘。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的生存能力感到有点紧张。

View our latest analysis for Time Watch Investments

查看我们对Time Watch Investments的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2033 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 11th 2023
联交所:2033市盈率与行业2023年10月11日
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Time Watch Investments, take a look at this
尽管没有分析师对Time Watch Investments的估计,但看看这个
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

Is There Enough Growth For Time Watch Investments?

Time Watch Investments有足够的增长吗?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Time Watch Investments' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

唯一能让你真正放心地看到像Time Watch Investments这样高的市盈率的时候,就是该公司的增长势头明显好于大盘的时候。

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 73% overall drop in EPS. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

如果我们回顾去年的收益增长,该公司公布了13%的合理增长。然而,这还不够,因为在最近的三年里,每股收益出现了令人不快的73%的整体下降。因此,不幸的是,我们不得不承认,在这段时间里,该公司在盈利增长方面做得并不出色。

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

与预计未来12个月将实现24%增长的市场相比,根据最近的中期收益结果,该公司的下行势头令人警醒。

In light of this, it's alarming that Time Watch Investments' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

有鉴于此,Time Watch Investments的市盈率超过了大多数其他公司,这令人担忧。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近的情况所显示的要乐观得多,不愿以任何价格抛售他们的股票。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近盈利趋势的延续最终可能会对股价造成沉重压力。

What We Can Learn From Time Watch Investments' P/E?

我们能从Time Watch Investments的市盈率中学到什么?

The strong share price surge has got Time Watch Investments' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

强劲的股价飙升也使Time Watch Investments的市盈率飙升至极高水平。仅仅用市盈率来决定你是否应该出售你的股票是不明智的,但它可以成为公司未来前景的实用指南。

We've established that Time Watch Investments currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

我们已经确定,Time Watch Investments目前的市盈率远远高于预期,因为它最近的收益在中期内一直在下降。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支持这种积极情绪。如果近期的中期盈利趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Time Watch Investments (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

在您采取下一步之前,您应该了解Time Watch Investments的两个警告信号(1有点令人担忧!)我们已经发现了。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

当然了,通过观察几个优秀的候选人,你可能会发现这是一项非常棒的投资。所以让我们来看看这个免费增长记录强劲的公司名单,市盈率较低。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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