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Even After Rising 7.2% This Past Week, ADT (NYSE:ADT) Shareholders Are Still Down 18% Over the Past Three Years

Even After Rising 7.2% This Past Week, ADT (NYSE:ADT) Shareholders Are Still Down 18% Over the Past Three Years

即使在上周上涨7.2%之后,ADT(纽约证券交易所代码:ADT)的股东在过去三年中仍下跌了18%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 07:30

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term ADT Inc. (NYSE:ADT) shareholders, since the share price is down 22% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 21%. On the other hand, we note it's up 9.9% in about a month.

作为一名投资者,努力确保你的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平是值得的。但在任何投资组合中,都可能会有一些股票没有达到这一基准。不幸的是,从长远来看,情况就是这样ADT Inc.(纽约证券交易所股票代码:ADT)的股东,因为股价在过去三年里下跌了22%,远远低于21%左右的市场回报率。另一方面,我们注意到它在大约一个月的时间里上涨了9.9%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$392m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,仅在过去的7天里,该公司的市值就增加了3.92亿美元,所以让我们看看我们是否能确定是什么导致了股东三年来的亏损。

View our latest analysis for ADT

查看我们对ADT的最新分析

Because ADT made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

由于ADT在过去12个月中出现亏损,我们认为市场可能更关注收入和收入增长,至少目前是这样。当一家公司没有盈利时,我们通常预计会看到良好的收入增长。这是因为快速的收入增长可以很容易地推断出预期利润,通常是相当大的规模。

In the last three years, ADT saw its revenue grow by 8.2% per year, compound. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. Shareholders have endured a share price decline of 7% per year. This implies the market had higher expectations of ADT. With revenue growing at a solid clip, now might be the time to focus on the possibility that it will have a brighter future.

在过去的三年中,ADT的收入以每年8.2%的复合增长率增长。这是一个相当可观的增长率。股东们的股价以每年7%的速度下跌。这意味着市场对ADT有更高的期望。随着收入的稳步增长,现在可能是时候关注它将拥有更光明未来的可能性了。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:ADT Earnings and Revenue Growth October 11th 2023
纽约证券交易所:ADT收益和收入增长2023年10月11日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on ADT

我们喜欢的是,内部人士在过去12个月一直在买入股票。话虽如此,大多数人认为盈利和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。这免费显示分析师预测的报告应该有助于您形成对ADT的看法

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of ADT, it has a TSR of -18% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。就ADT而言,过去3年的TSR为-18%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Investors in ADT had a tough year, with a total loss of 20% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 22%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 0.9% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with ADT .

ADT的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总共损失了20%(包括股息),而市场收益约为22%。即使是好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对企业产生太大兴趣之前,看到企业的基本指标有所改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年0.9%的年化损失更糟糕。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该“在街上血淋淋的时候买入”,但我们警告投资者,首先应该确保他们购买的是一家高质量的企业。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该意识到1个警告标志我们发现了ADT。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

还有很多其他公司让内部人士买进股票。你很可能会这么做想怀念这一切吗?免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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