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We Think Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (SHSE:603599) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical (SHSE:603599) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我们认为安徽广信农化(上海证券交易所代码:603599)可以轻松管理债务
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 22:07

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603599) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。与许多其他公司一样安徽广信农化有限公司(上海证券交易所:603599)利用债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司利用债务为增长提供资金,没有任何负面后果。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

View our latest analysis for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical

查看我们对安徽广信农化的最新分析

What Is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's Debt?

安徽广信农化的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical had CN¥1.53b of debt, an increase on CN¥535.3m, over one year. But it also has CN¥9.67b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥8.13b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数据,但它显示,截至2023年6月,安徽广信农化的债务为15.3亿元人民币,比一年前增加了5.353亿元人民币。但它也有人民币96.7亿元的现金来抵消,这意味着它有人民币81.3亿元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603599 Debt to Equity History October 11th 2023
上证综指:603599债转股历史2023年10月11日

How Strong Is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's Balance Sheet?

安徽广信农化的资产负债表到底有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical had liabilities of CN¥5.04b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥137.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥9.67b as well as receivables valued at CN¥666.6m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥5.16b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,安徽广信农化有50.4亿元的负债在一年内到期,1.377亿元的负债在一年内到期。为了抵消这些债务,该公司有96.7亿加元的现金以及价值6.666亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有51.6亿元人民币更多流动资产超过总负债。

It's good to see that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

令人欣慰的是,安徽广信农化的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明其对负债的管理较为保守。由于其强大的净资产状况,它不太可能面临与贷款人的问题。简而言之,安徽广信农化的现金多于债务,可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它有能力安全地管理债务。

Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

安徽广信农化的息税前利润与去年持平,但考虑到它没有太多债务,这应该不是一个问题。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定安徽广信农化能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 81% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。安徽广信农化的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该业务将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的情况仍很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。过去三年,安徽广信农化录得的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的81%,比我们通常预期的要好。这使它处于有利的地位,如果需要的话,它可以偿还债务。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical has net cash of CN¥8.13b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.1b, being 81% of its EBIT. So is Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical you should know about.

虽然我们同情投资者对债务的担忧,但您应该记住,安徽广信农化拥有81.3亿元人民币的净现金,流动资产多于负债。它给我们留下了深刻的印象,自由现金流为21亿元人民币,占其息税前利润的81%。那么,安徽广信农化的债务是否存在风险?但在我们看来并非如此。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现1安徽广信农化警示标志你应该知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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