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Investors in Morningstar (NASDAQ:MORN) Have Seen Solid Returns of 115% Over the Past Five Years

Investors in Morningstar (NASDAQ:MORN) Have Seen Solid Returns of 115% Over the Past Five Years

晨星(纳斯达克股票代码:MORN)的投资者在过去五年中实现了115%的稳健回报
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 12:15

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. One great example is Morningstar, Inc. (NASDAQ:MORN) which saw its share price drive 107% higher over five years. It's also good to see the share price up 14% over the last quarter.

你在任何一只股票上最多只能损失100%的钱(假设你不使用杠杆)。但当你选择一家真正蓬勃发展的公司时,你可以制作超过100%。一个很好的例子是晨星公司纳斯达克(Sequoia Capital:Morn)的股价在五年内上涨了107%。上个季度股价上涨了14%,这也是好事。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,让我们评估一下过去5年的基本基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报同步。

Check out our latest analysis for Morningstar

查看我们对晨星的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用巴菲特的话说,“船只将在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球协会将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。

During five years of share price growth, Morningstar actually saw its EPS drop 32% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,晨星的每股收益实际上每年下降32%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

从本质上讲,投资者似乎不太可能把重点放在每股收益上。由于每股收益似乎与股价不匹配,我们将转而看看其他指标。

The modest 0.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 15% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Morningstar is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

0.6%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。相比之下,每年15%的收入增长可能被视为晨星正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极因素。目前,管理层很有可能将收入增长置于每股收益增长之上。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:MORN Earnings and Revenue Growth October 10th 2023
NasdaqGS:2023年10月10日晨间收益和收入增长

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for Morningstar in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。关注首席执行官的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是,该公司是否会在未来几年实现盈利增长。你可以在这里看到分析师对晨星的预测互动未来利润预估图表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Morningstar, it has a TSR of 115% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就晨星而言,它在过去5年的总资产收益率为115%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Morningstar shareholders are up 10% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 17% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Morningstar better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Morningstar you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

晨星的股东今年上涨了10%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这与市场回报率相去甚远。这可能是一个好迹象,表明该公司拥有更好的长期记录,在过去五年里为股东提供了17%的年TSR。也许股价只是在公司执行其增长战略时稍作喘息。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但为了更好地理解晨星,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了晨星的4个警告信号你应该意识到,其中有1个是不容忽视的。

But note: Morningstar may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:晨星可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以让我们来看看这个免费过去有盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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