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Automatic Data Processing's (NASDAQ:ADP) 15% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

Automatic Data Processing's (NASDAQ:ADP) 15% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period

Automation Data Processing(纳斯达克股票代码:ADP)15%的复合年增长率超过了该公司同期的收益增长
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/10 10:16

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) share price is up 78% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 51% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 12% , including dividends .

选股者通常在寻找表现优于大盘的股票。事实是,如果你以合适的价格收购优质的企业,你可以获得可观的收益。例如, 自动数据处理有限公司 纳斯达克股票代码:ADP)的股价在过去5年中上涨了78%,明显超过了约51%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的涨幅并不那么令人印象深刻,包括股息在内的股东仅上涨了12%。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在连续7天表现稳健的背景下,让我们来看看公司的基本面在推动长期股东回报方面发挥了什么作用。

View our latest analysis for Automatic Data Processing

查看我们对自动数据处理的最新分析

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

尽管一些人继续教导高效市场假说,但事实证明,市场是反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Over half a decade, Automatic Data Processing managed to grow its earnings per share at 14% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 12% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

在过去的五年中,自动数据处理成功地将其每股收益增长了14%。每股收益的增长相当接近股价年均增长12%。因此,人们可以得出结论,人们对股票的情绪并没有太大变化。实际上,股价似乎在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增长。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了 EPS 随着时间的推移是如何变化的(点击图片可以看到确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:ADP Earnings Per Share Growth October 10th 2023
纳斯达克证券交易所:ADP每股收益增长 2023年10月10日

We know that Automatic Data Processing has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

我们知道自动数据处理最近提高了利润,但它会增加收入吗?这个 免费的 显示分析师收入预测的报告应该可以帮助您弄清楚每股收益的增长能否持续。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Automatic Data Processing, it has a TSR of 98% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。股东总回报率根据股息被再投资的假设纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以公平地说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了支付股息的股票。就自动数据处理而言,其过去5年的股东总回报率为98%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了分歧,这是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Automatic Data Processing shareholders gained a total return of 12% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 15% over five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. Before forming an opinion on Automatic Data Processing you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

自动数据处理股东的总回报率在年内增长了12%。但是这种回报低于市场。这可能是一个好兆头,表明该公司的长期业绩记录更好,在五年内为股东提供了15%的年度股东总回报率。鉴于随着时间的推移,市场持续受到积极欢迎,这很可能是一项值得关注的业务。在对自动数据处理形成意见之前,您可能需要考虑这三个估值指标。

But note: Automatic Data Processing may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意: 自动数据处理可能不是最好的买入股票。所以来看看这个 免费的 过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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