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Investors in New China Life Insurance (SHSE:601336) Have Unfortunately Lost 39% Over the Last Three Years

Investors in New China Life Insurance (SHSE:601336) Have Unfortunately Lost 39% Over the Last Three Years

不幸的是,新中国人寿保险(上海证券交易所代码:601336)的投资者在过去三年中损失了39%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/09 21:11

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 45% in three years, versus a market decline of about 7.2%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 10% in a month.

作为投资者,值得努力确保您的整体投资组合超过市场平均水平。但是在任何投资组合中,都可能有一些股票未达到该基准。从长远来看,我们很遗憾地向大家报告 新华人寿保险股份有限公司 (上海证券交易所代码:601336)股东也有过这样的经历,股价在三年内下跌了45%,而市场下跌了约7.2%。最近,股价在一个月内又下跌了10%。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得评估的是,该公司的经济状况是否与这些令人难以置信的股东回报步调一致,或者两者之间是否存在一些差距。所以我们就这么做吧。

View our latest analysis for New China Life Insurance

查看我们对新华人寿保险的最新分析

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During the three years that the share price fell, New China Life Insurance's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.6% each year. The share price decline of 18% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 10.79.

在股价下跌的三年中,新华人寿的每股收益(EPS)每年下降4.6%。18%的股价跌幅实际上比每股收益的下滑幅度更大。因此,每股收益的下降很可能令市场失望,使投资者对买入犹豫不决。不太乐观的情绪反映在其目前的市盈率为10.79。

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了 EPS 在一段时间内的跟踪情况(如果你点击图片,你可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601336 Earnings Per Share Growth October 10th 2023
上海证券交易所:601336 每股收益增长 2023 年 10 月 10 日

This free interactive report on New China Life Insurance's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

这个 免费的 如果你想进一步调查该股,那么关于新华人寿收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个不错的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, New China Life Insurance's TSR for the last 3 years was -39%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。虽然股价回报仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设是再投资)以及任何贴现融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常比股价回报率高得多。碰巧的是,新华人寿过去三年的股东总回报率为-39%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了分歧,这是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that New China Life Insurance shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 40% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.9% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for New China Life Insurance you should know about.

很高兴看到新华人寿的股东在过去一年中获得了40%的股东总回报。这确实包括股息。这无疑超过了过去五年中每年约1.9%的亏损。这让我们有点警惕,但该企业可能已经扭转了命运。尽管值得考虑市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现 新中国人寿保险有两个警告信号 你应该知道。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想与管理层一起买入股票,那么你可能会喜欢这个 免费的 公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在购买它们)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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