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Those Who Invested in American Financial Group (NYSE:AFG) Three Years Ago Are up 127%

Those Who Invested in American Financial Group (NYSE:AFG) Three Years Ago Are up 127%

三年前投资美国金融集团(纽约证券交易所代码:AFG)的人上涨了127%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/08 10:32

One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you buy good businesses at attractive prices, your portfolio returns could exceed the average market return. For example, American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) shareholders have seen the share price rise 53% over three years, well in excess of the market return (15%, not including dividends).

从股市获益的一个简单方法是购买指数基金。但如果你以有吸引力的价格收购好企业,你的投资组合回报可能会超过平均市场回报。例如,美国金融集团。(纽约证券交易所股票代码:AFG)股东的股价在三年内上涨了53%,远远超过了市场回报率(15%,不包括股息)。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

让我们来看看较长期的基本基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。

See our latest analysis for American Financial Group

查看我们对美国金融集团的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用巴菲特的话说,“船只将在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球协会将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……”考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During three years of share price growth, American Financial Group achieved compound earnings per share growth of 40% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 15% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 11.19.

在三年的股价增长中,美国金融集团实现了每股收益每年40%的复合增长。这一EPS增幅高于15%的股价年均涨幅。因此,市场似乎在一定程度上降低了对增长的预期。这种谨慎的情绪反映在其11.19的(相当低的)市盈率上。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(单击图表可查看精确值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:AFG Earnings Per Share Growth October 8th 2023
纽约证券交易所:AFG每股收益增长2023年10月8日

It is of course excellent to see how American Financial Group has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at American Financial Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

当然,看到美国金融集团多年来的利润增长是非常好的,但对股东来说,未来更重要。更全面地了解美国金融集团的财务健康状况免费报告其资产负债表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of American Financial Group, it has a TSR of 127% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。就美国金融集团而言,它在过去3年的总资产收益率为127%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 18% in the last year, American Financial Group shareholders lost 5.6% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 12%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand American Financial Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that American Financial Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

虽然去年大盘上涨了约18%,但美国金融集团的股东损失了5.6%(甚至包括股息)。即使是好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对企业产生太大兴趣之前,看到企业的基本指标有所改善。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得12%的收益。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据,以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但要更好地了解美国金融集团,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。即便如此,请注意,美国金融集团正在展示在我们的投资分析中出现1个警告信号,你应该知道关于……

Of course American Financial Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然了美国金融集团可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费成长型股票的集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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