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There's Reason For Concern Over Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8081) Massive 26% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:8081) Massive 26% Price Jump

有理由担心恒泰裕集团控股有限公司(HKG: 8081)价格大幅上涨26%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 18:19

Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings Limited (HKG:8081) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.

恒大裕集团控股有限公司(HKG:8081)股东们会兴奋地看到,股价在一个月里表现出色,上涨了26%,并从之前的疲软中恢复过来。从更广泛的角度来看,尽管没有上个月那么强劲,18%的全年涨幅也是相当合理的。

After such a large jump in price, Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

在股价大幅跳涨后,恒大集团的市盈率(本益比)达到12.6倍,与香港市场相比,这可能会让它看起来像是卖出。在香港,大约一半的公司的市盈率低于9倍,甚至市盈率低于4倍的情况也很常见。然而,市盈率高可能是有原因的,需要进一步调查才能确定它是否合理。

For example, consider that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

举例来说,恒大集团近期的财务表现欠佳,盈利持续下降。许多人可能预计,该公司在未来一段时间内的表现仍将好于大多数其他公司,这使得市盈率没有崩溃。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的生存能力感到相当紧张。

See our latest analysis for Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings

请参阅我们对恒大悦集团控股的最新分析

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8081 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 4th 2023
联交所:8081市盈率与行业2023年10月4日
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings, take a look at this
尽管没有分析师对恒大集团控股的估计,但看看这个。
free
免费
data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。

Is There Enough Growth For Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings?

恒大集团是否有足够的增长空间?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

有一种固有的假设,即一家公司的市盈率应该好于大盘,这样的市盈率才被认为是合理的。

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 61%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

首先回顾一下,该公司去年的每股收益增长并不是什么令人兴奋的事情,因为它公布了令人失望的下降61%。至少,由于早期的增长,每股收益总体上没有从三年前完全倒退。因此,在我们看来,在这段时间里,该公司在收益增长方面的结果好坏参半。

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

这与其他市场形成对比,后者预计明年将增长25%,大大高于该公司最近的中期年化增长率。

With this information, we find it concerning that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

有了这些信息,我们发现恒大集团控股的市盈率高于大盘。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近的情况所显示的要乐观得多,不愿以任何价格抛售他们的股票。如果市盈率下降到与最近的增长率更一致的水平,现有股东很可能会让自己未来感到失望。

The Bottom Line On Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' P/E

恒泰岳集团控股市盈率的底线

Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

恒泰岳集团控股有限公司的市盈率正在上升,因为它的股价强劲上涨。一般来说,我们倾向于限制市盈率的使用,以确定市场对公司整体健康状况的看法。

We've established that Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

我们已经确定,恒泰岳集团目前的市盈率远高于预期,因为其最近三年的增长低于更广泛的市场预测。目前,我们对高市盈率越来越感到不安,因为这种盈利表现不太可能长期支撑这种积极情绪。除非最近的中期状况明显改善,否则要接受这些价格是合理的是非常具有挑战性的。

Having said that, be aware Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.

话虽如此,但请注意恒泰岳集团控股出现3个警示信号在我们的投资分析中,其中有一个是不容忽视的。

If you're unsure about the strength of Hang Tai Yue Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你.不确定恒大岳集团控股的业务实力,为什么不探索我们的互动列表,为其他一些你可能没有达到预期的公司提供坚实的商业基本面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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